Your damage sounds about right with i110 with i115 weapon. Also the difference between Snap, Snap, Demo and Demo, Snap, Snap over the course of a few minutes won't have any real impact once you factor in all your attacks as a whole. Good or bad luck with crits on your opener are going to play a bigger role. As long as you get GL3 and start rolling your buffs and CDs as quickly as possible the rest doesn't really play that big of a deal in a raid boss encounter. The reason you see your dragoon damage being high is because they spike extremely high at the very start and it takes a few minutes for it level back out. 3-4 minutes isn't actually long enough to get good parses, and this is also why you can fairly large variations in DPS from shorter parses (mostly from crit RNG). The problem is you'll run out of resources so the best thing to do is to run a parse until you start running dry. More attacks is going to give you higher accuracy, and 3-4 minutes just isn't a great sample unfortunately specifically in terms of crit rate.
Long story short, you sound like you're doing fine. The damage on the opener is respectively small next to the sum of the rest of your damage. Obviously there's more optimal openers than others, but this is also effected by your skill speed and how many off GCDs and buffs you are squeezing in to the opener. The end result won't change to any great degree though after prolonged combat.
There is no average on how much it should increase you. This will all be determined by how often you are missing auto attacks which will vary greatly depending on a number of factors. If you are controlling your camera really well then you might not get any increase while on the flip side if you are using legacy controls and not compensating on strafing or lack there of (either change key binds or other behavior) then you might see a substantial increase. The real question is what type of controls are you using. Generally speaking legacy controls tend to lead to more missed auto attacks without modifying how you control your character, and controller players generally can't maneuver around quite like a keyboard and mouse player can. There's just a lot of factors to consider. Can you tell us about how much damage your auto attacks are making up of your overall damage? If it's less than ~30% then you're probably missing some. However, keep in mind lock on isn't just some magical improvement some people don't need to use it.


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