We lost 70% of our player base half a year in

[Ranaku]

I don't even care that much what people think but I just love that after 38 pages these "statistics experts" still fail to counter the literal third post of this thread on page 1.

Consider the data-generating process

Y = f(X, U), where Y is the probability of attrition depending on observables and unobservables X and U. If after estimating f (through a probit or logit model etc) on some random and balanced subset of data Z you get an attrition rate of 70%, then the prediction of the global attrition rate based on f-bar has an expected value of 70%, and this is a consistent and unbiased prediction as long as the estimator is consistent and unbiased. Even if this subsample is imbalanced, it will take a lot for the global attrition rate to actually be 40% or some much lower number. You can easily run simulations to prove this.

No one in this entire thread proved that Steam players are sufficiently different from regular FF14 players such that the subsample is imbalanced enough that any inference on the global attrition rate is off significantly.

It kinda doesn't matter if the steam charts are a real representation of the community. Cause even when using the steamcharts 90% of your original statement was a blatant lie with tempered evidence.

SB Peak: 40k

ShB Peak: 60k

EW Peak: 90k

And the next expansion will probably go over a 100k peak players on release. And the player number drops always after release and goes up with patches and then drops again before picking up with new expansions again. The game has now more active players than on ShB release.

BUT HEY WHAT CAN WE EXPECT FROM A FORUM TROLL WHO HAS WEIRDLY ENOUGH EVERY DOL AND DOH JOB ON 90 AND ONLY ONE COMBAT JOB AT 90? Not really here to debate with an obvious troll but some people might start to believe that obvious lie so yeah.

[WeissTuna]

It kinda doesn't matter if the steam charts are a real representation of the community. Cause even when using the steamcharts 90% of your original statement was a blatant lie with tempered evidence.

SB Peak: 40k

ShB Peak: 60k

EW Peak: 90k

And the next expansion will probably go over a 100k peak players on release. And the player number drops always after release and goes up with patches and then drops again before picking up with new expansions again. The game has now more active players than on ShB release.

BUT HEY WHAT CAN WE EXPECT FROM A FORUM TROLL WHO HAS WEIRDLY ENOUGH EVERY DOL AND DOH JOB ON 90 AND ONLY ONE COMBAT JOB AT 90? Not really here to debate with an obvious troll but some people might start to believe that obvious lie so yeah.

Doubt the next expac will go over 100k. Can't forget the Blizzard drama that was happening a few months prior that caused the "WoW Exodus" and a huge number of players to try out XIV and the expac(And the fact that Shadowlands wasn't popular). Mix that with the biggest WoW content creators streaming XIV, that sequence of events had a lot of influence on the numbers, and it will likely not happen again.