Quote Originally Posted by Duuude007 View Post
Statistically speaking, the best way to determine the rate of atma to FATE is more accurate with a very large sample size, and utilizing fate counts rather than time.

For me, I have 65 atmas earned so far, and took approximately 2000 fates, based on when I began and when I earned my 3000 fate achievement.

This means I earned 1 atma, on average, every 30.8 FATE, or 3.25% average chance.

We would need more people rating theirs in the same matter if we wish to get a more accurate odds.

But merely based on these 65, for the average player to get 1 full atma set it should take approximately 370 FATES to get all 12.
Except no.

It's RNG. Just because, say, the average was 1/100, that doesn't mean you WILL get an atma on the 100th try. It's more like:

(1/100)/100

For every single 1 attempt you make, your chance would be a 1 out of 100 chance. This is not a stacking statistic. Completely static. You will always be rolling 1/? chance because the given "rate" is unidentified, as the system is based purely on RNG.

I really wish these "theorists" would stop trying to "explain" how to "guarantee" drops.