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  1. #1
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    Neptune's Avatar
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    What I'm seeing in this thread squares with my estimates. I think you can take the primetime population and triple it at most to get the actual active playerbase. People are generally online either morning, afternoon, or night. So I still estimate about 9k faithful free-trial players with a little more right now checking out the patch.
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  2. #2
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    Quote Originally Posted by Neptune View Post
    What I'm seeing in this thread squares with my estimates. I think you can take the primetime population and triple it at most to get the actual active playerbase. People are generally online either morning, afternoon, or night. So I still estimate about 9k faithful free-trial players with a little more right now checking out the patch.
    you do realize you just counteracted what you said in your own post

    most servers are above 1k online during peak hours

    thats 19k among 19 servers

    3 times that isnt 9k.....

    come on neptune, basic math here!

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheVedis View Post
    you do realize you just counteracted what you said in your own post

    most servers are above 1k online during peak hours

    thats 19k among 19 servers

    3 times that isnt 9k.....

    come on neptune, basic math here!
    Karnak has like 200 players online, lol. That's 600.
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  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Neptune View Post
    Karnak has like 200 players online, lol. That's 600.
    this isnt their peak hours though is it?

    remember, we are talking peak hours

    not "now" hours


    and 30% of the population beign on at any given time is pretty much rediculous, in order for that to be true everyone would have to be on 8+ hours a day, which just isnt happening, and i can say that with 100% certainty


    people like to think the lower numbers are the most accurate, but i think they dont give games enough credit(i can site a few older examples, such as champions online when this issue came up, and due to a server error we actualy saw the true population of the game one night when the servers didnt shard correctly and we all ended up on a single one)


    but yeah some servers will ahve lower pops, but the higher pop servers will even those out, which is why i state 1000 players online average during peak hours is a good number to go with

  5. #5
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    viion's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheVedis View Post
    this isnt their peak hours though is it?

    remember, we are talking peak hours
    Even low servers max at 300-400 at peak.

    So even if you got 1000k per server, that 1000k isnt garaunteed to stay when billing starts is it? A lot of people saying they will stop playing once it goes p2p so the faithful customers might not be so faithful after all.

    But in the end, as disturbing as these numbers are, they will all reduce a significant amount come January 6th, we can compare then the difference and see just how bad things or or see if SE got faithful customers.

    Not to mention there are people who play all day or across 2 time segments (afternoon to peak) so say if 200 at afternoon and 300 at peak that isnt 500 unique people garauntee, 100 of them could be people still playing, infact that is more likely true because people AFK a lot. you know... or bot lol.
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    Last edited by viion; 12-17-2011 at 11:14 PM.