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  1. #11
    Player
    Nyalia's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Location
    Gridania
    Posts
    1,683
    Character
    Neri Feralheart
    World
    Faerie
    Main Class
    Paladin Lv 90
    Looking JUST at the Survey stat, here's the number of attempts vs successes at different survey values to find sector 08 recorded on the spreadsheet:


    Adrasteia: Success: 98
    Drunken Mammet: Fails: 80; Success: 80
    Enterprise A: Fails: 80, 80
    HMS Moneysink: Success: 90
    Lalafell Mafia: Fails: 94, 94, 94, 94; Success: 76
    Ragnarok: Fails: 98, 98; Success: 98
    SS Flying Squirrel: Fails: 80, 80, 80
    SS Rubber Ducky: Fails: 76, 62; Success: 80
    The Phoenix: Fails: 80, 80, 80; Success: 80

    So, that's what we have so far. With 80 Survey, the chance to find Sector 08 so far for us (and this is a tiny sample size) is 3/12 = 25%. Now, again, this is a tiny sample, but the chance to succeed with 90-100 Survey? We have 6 fails recorded and 3 successes. 3/9 gives us 33%. Below 80 we only have 3 trips recorded, 1 success and 2 fails, which gives us 33% there too. This is all skewed by small sample sizes, but the 25-33% chance is pretty consistent so far across all survey values. Our total of 7/24 gives us ~30%, and 33% isn't even appreciably better than that.

    EDIT: Sorry, I totally missed the HMS Moneysink's log entry!
    (1)
    Last edited by Nyalia; 07-25-2015 at 03:30 AM. Reason: Oops, missed one!
    (The links below are sadly outdated. I hope to get around to updating things at some point.)
    Desynthesis Guide: http://tinyurl.com/ffxivdesynth

    Airship Guide: http://tinyurl.com/ffxivairshipguide (\v/) Airship Quick Reference: http://tinyurl.com/ffxivairshipqr
    Airship Logsheet: http://tinyurl.com/ffxivairshiplog (/|\) Airship Builder Tool: http://tinyurl.com/ffxivairshipbuilder

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