Quote Originally Posted by Aegis View Post
-snip-
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy

Basically, the idea is, it is not based on how many you do, but each on individually. You cannot base it off of time, because that would be a fallacy. 2.5% chance on one FATE is still a 2.5% chance on another. In other words, going by your time will not make sense based on other peoples' time. You each have a 2.5% chance per FATE. To make it simpler, let's say its a 50% drop rate. This does not mean in 2 FATEs, you should or are more likely to get the drop. It is calculated each and every time you enter.

Therefore, farming for 15 minutes (another hyperbole on my part, I apologize), has the same odds as doing it for 5 hours. Your odds don't change based on the amount you do.