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  1. #1
    Player
    axemtitanium's Avatar
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    Titania Basilikos
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    Hyperion
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    Thaumaturge Lv 100
    The probability of the event "100 tails in a row" is some absurdly small number but the probability of each coin flip stays the same. In the case of melding, it is likely (and perfectly valid) that you will get increasingly indignant after each successive failure but as far as we know, there is no "rubber band" RNG that tries to smooth out the failure rate.

    Astarica is correct though. 0.89^55 is 0.00164, not 0.001465. Not sure where you got that number.
    (3)
    Last edited by axemtitanium; 11-06-2013 at 05:14 PM.

  2. #2
    Player
    Eightbit's Avatar
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    Eightbit Ho
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    Malboro
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    Gladiator Lv 50
    Quote Originally Posted by axemtitanium View Post
    Astarica is correct though. 0.89^55 is 0.00164, not 0.001465. Not sure where you got that number.
    I'd assume number dyslexia. Or he has squeaked in another attempt.
    (0)
    Last edited by Eightbit; 11-06-2013 at 05:18 PM.

  3. #3
    Player
    axemtitanium's Avatar
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    Thaumaturge Lv 100
    Quote Originally Posted by Eightbit View Post
    I'd assume number dyslexia. Or he has squeaked in another attempt.
    Looks like you're right. That number is in fact .89^56. Dunno why I didn't think to try that.
    (0)

  4. #4
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    MithrasInvictus's Avatar
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    Mithras Invictus
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    Hyperion
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    Gladiator Lv 50
    Quote Originally Posted by axemtitanium View Post
    In the case of melding, it is likely (and perfectly valid) that you will get increasingly indignant after each successive failure.
    You made my morning, thank you. Swearing at the monitor? You betcha!
    (0)
    When the world was young, the Sun bestowed upon me his crown; always will I light your darkest hour.