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  1. #10
    Player
    VanillaLatte's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2012
    Posts
    63
    Character
    Vanilla Latte
    World
    Aegis
    Main Class
    Pugilist Lv 50
    Quote Originally Posted by viion View Post
    You are predicting high amounts that are quite incorrect, if an item goes from 2m to 1.2m instead of 200k it is 600% more valuable, that is too high for this situation. I dont predict all items will gain a 600% increase. and be 6/10ths. I predict 2-3/ths, even at the start, it might be higher, but doesnt matter, i reckon it will stablize at 2-3/10ths.

    Taking what I consider to be the increase rate and not that crazy high 6/10ths that I dont believe in.

    If you for example have 2m Vanya that goes to 400k instead of 200k, it is 100% more valuable.

    That means right now it should be at 4m, Why does it not sell at this? Who knows, it can be because less buyers, it can be because there is a history, it can be because there is ones already up for 2m and so on, there is no panic of sudden loss of money because its a fresh new market where fresh net prices can be set, and people do try sell them at 4m even now. You factor in the high rate at start, 400k (4m) which in current climate reduced to 2m, should state that in 2.0 the 400k will go down to 200k. It might, it might not, I have stated why I do not think it will go down.



    Redenomination creates a window of opportunity to exploit, people take this advantage and do so. Therefore that might not be directly related to redenomination but more to the fact that people are exploiting a new market with severely less Gil, but redenomination is the cause of less gil, which will trigger the "moods" and "reactions" players have.

    I can put blame onto redenomination a number of ways.
    My mistake on the calculation.
    I meant to make it 2m to 320k, not 1.2m.

    However my point remains. You don't have an answer because it doesn't make sense. No buyers? why will there be buyers with the gil cut. Price history? the history changes everyday already depending on supply and demand - people price things at the highest sellable point.

    The "moods' and "reactions" or "impulse buys" are the suckers, unfortunately, that will be buying at over-priced mark during the initial settling time frame.

    If for anything, people will be more cautious and less willing to buy things in ARR because they feel they have less gil after the redenomination.

    edit: I agree there will be a "settling time" window but it's not created by the redenomination. It's created by game changes. IF there is no redenomination, Vanya 2m today can become 10m in ARR as well. It will not go straight to 10m right away, but it will gradually settle there. It's purely supply and demand and the relative value of the item (compare to other items) in the game.
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    Last edited by VanillaLatte; 10-09-2012 at 07:44 AM.