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  1. #21
    Player
    Zozma's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Gridania
    Posts
    41
    Character
    Zozma Facinaturu
    World
    Ragnarok
    Main Class
    Gladiator Lv 90
    So after some occasionally HQ now and then I went on a new bad luck streak;
    50+25
    50+25
    48+24
    50+25
    50+25
    48+24
    41+20
    33 (hq'ed here)

    Its just so fustrating to blow everything up cause you are stuck with bad luck, I mean the chances of zero HQ on a case of 6*50% is just like...1.5% yet I fall in that category, and it happens ALL the time with me. *goes cry in a corner*
    (1)
    Last edited by Zozma; 05-22-2012 at 12:45 AM. Reason: added more fails

  2. #22
    Player
    Yrusama's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Limsa Lominsa
    Posts
    1,235
    Character
    Y'ruh Tia
    World
    Sargatanas
    Main Class
    Botanist Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by Asiaine View Post
    Or you could sit in a jail cell and flip a coin 10,000 times to see if 50/50 presents itself ^.^;
    Actually, I've heard that 55% of the time a coin will be tails because the heads side is slightly heavier. But that's irrelevant. Carry on!
    (0)

  3. #23
    Player
    Asiaine's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Posts
    988
    Character
    Shayla Asiaine
    World
    Balmung
    Main Class
    Carpenter Lv 50
    Quote Originally Posted by Yrusama View Post
    Actually, I've heard that 55% of the time a coin will be tails because the heads side is slightly heavier. But that's irrelevant. Carry on!
    That is offset by the fact that sometimes it lands on its edge!
    (0)

  4. #24
    Player
    Seyrr's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2012
    Location
    Limsa Lominsa
    Posts
    50
    Character
    Seyrr Timono
    World
    Hyperion
    Main Class
    Fisher Lv 80
    Quote Originally Posted by Asiaine View Post
    That is offset by the fact that sometimes it lands on its edge!
    Which, interestingly, is how the head of my college's chemistry department picked chemistry as his major. The story goes that he was flipping a coin to decide between physics and engineering, and there was a crack in the sidewalk nearby...
    (0)

  5. #25
    Player

    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Posts
    35
    Quote Originally Posted by Zozma View Post
    So after some occasionally HQ now and then I went on a new bad luck streak;
    50+25
    50+25
    48+24
    50+25
    50+25
    48+24
    41+20
    33 (hq'ed here)

    Its just so fustrating to blow everything up cause you are stuck with bad luck, I mean the chances of zero HQ on a case of 6*50% is just like...1.5% yet I fall in that category, and it happens ALL the time with me. *goes cry in a corner*
    If it happens all the time, its not bad luck, its bad programming that makes the RNG very dependant on hardware, so some people will have "bad luck" a lot more often than others.
    I know this from my own experience.
    In another mmo i was plagued by "bad luck" for six months day after day, until i changed my hardware, after that it felt like i was playing in god mode, no more "bad luck" whatsoever.
    RNG bugs happen only on certain pc configurations just like ordinary bugs, but unlike ordinary bugs, they are much harder to prove.
    (0)

  6. #26
    Player
    Teakwood's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Posts
    589
    Character
    Vai Greystone
    World
    Zalera
    Main Class
    Arcanist Lv 90
    RANDOM NUMBERS:

    STILL

    TOO

    RANDOM!!!
    (1)
    7UP!


  7. #27
    Player
    tymora's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    1,724
    Character
    Tymora Estrellauta
    World
    Balmung
    Main Class
    Thaumaturge Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by kaboro View Post
    If it happens all the time, its not bad luck, its bad programming that makes the RNG very dependant on hardware, so some people will have "bad luck" a lot more often than others.
    I know this from my own experience.
    I really doubt anyone writes their own pseudo-random number generators nowadays when it is part of standard libraries except for really specialized applications. The only limitation of PRNG is that it repeats after a (long) series but you should never see it.

    Hardware...possible but its again all standard PC parts.

    Go test with /random and do it...say a 1000 times before you start blaming programmers.
    (1)
    Last edited by tymora; 05-26-2012 at 11:44 AM.

  8. #28
    Player
    Green_and_a_Half's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    253
    Character
    Ren Da'beast
    World
    Hyperion
    Main Class
    Arcanist Lv 3
    (3)

  9. #29
    Player

    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Posts
    114
    your chances to hq something at 99% does not mean 100%- you could fail 100 time on a 99%chance just base on but the next 10000 succeeds that's still considered 1% chance of faillure-
    (0)

  10. #30
    Player
    Asiaine's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Posts
    988
    Character
    Shayla Asiaine
    World
    Balmung
    Main Class
    Carpenter Lv 50
    I was crafting a level 51+ item (Jade Crook), with NQ items only.
    Got durability up to just above 300, so I had a 1% chance.
    It HQed.

    Therefore, I think its fair to say 1% chance does mean greater than 0% probability of success.
    (0)

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