
Originally Posted by
Cleretic
I'm curious as to where exactly you expected him to go down. Because as I mentioned on the first page, I don't think a lot of people predicted him to be the first trial even if most of us predicted he wasn't the final boss; most common seemed to be to put him in the second trial spot, where Hydaelyn ended up, essentially as the third-act twist.
I'd say a lot of that was also aided by people's natural assumption that everything we knew prior to Endwalker's launch was more of the story than it was;. From what I saw, people largely assumed the only thing we didn't have was the final zone (which was true of our knowledge of Shadowbringers before its launch), so the general 'prediction meta' was to structure all the pieces we were aware of into the first five zones' worth, and then take your best guess as to where the sixth would go. It was up to the individual whether 'the best guess' was purely wishful thinking for what they wanted to see, a genuine extrapolation based on existing info, or a combination of the two.*
And all of those predictions fell over because we assumed we knew more than we did; we assumed the overall framing of 'go to the moon and fight Zodiark' was bigger than it turned out to be, so we placed that point later in the predictions than it was. That led to misinterpreting Vanaspati and the Dead Ends, getting Elpis completely wrong, so on and so forth.
*For what it's worth, my prediction was a combination, and looking back at it had that wonderful vibe of 'identified all the pieces that would be important, but put them all in the wrong places'. My final zone/dungeon pick was the Lunar Subterrane, which was both a really common prediction and a total whiff, and I had a really extensive permutation of the 'Two Fandaniels' theory which was complete bunk... but the Fandaniel theory was 'only one is an Ancient, the other is a mortal who hates those guys' which did somehow end up true in a sideways way, and my pick for the final dungeon/boss was 'an Ancient secret related to Fandaniel that recontextualizes what we knew of Amaurot', which was correct even if I got the specifics wrong.