Quote Originally Posted by Asiaine View Post
Perhaps 20% success does not mean you have a 20% chance of success ^.^:
Perhaps it really means 20% success is 20% of the maximum success rate that you can have.

If the maximum success rate (hidden value) is 80%, and you have 20% success rate, then you really have a 16% success.
If you have a 100% success rate, then you really have a 80% success rate.


Of course, I could be wrong, but it would be interesting to note if anyone had a 100% success rate and fail.
Good theory, however I'd like to attribute OPs case to bad luck :x

FYI: I went 1/17 on gamblers crown. LS mates of mine went like 1/50, and 1/150+