Initially I never would have thought that an earthquake could have affected the operations of a server farm, but I should have been more realistic.
With 4 of Japan's 53 nuclear reactors permanently offline (sea water, which they have used to cool down the fuel, permanently breaks a reactor), the country is now facing a shortage in power. And the question is, when will this situation be remedied?
Several of those 53 reactors were at the time of the EQ not even in operation, but under yearly inspection and maintenance. Which means that it is possible to get back to original power output by speeding this process up and getting a few of them back online earlier than scheduled, which is what will happen, eventually.
Additionally, the last thing Japan needs right now is businesses not being able to function due to the power shortage. It will be very damaging, financially, in the long run.
I believe that getting businesses up and running is not something that's currently "on ice," but something that the Japanese are working very hard towards, while also working on containing the situation at Fukushima 1, and cleaning up after the tsunami.
At first I guessed that we would have had to wait at least 3-4 weeks before we would see the servers back online. But that was when I thought that they would have the Fukushima 1 situation under control within a few days. And those of you who watch/read the news should now that it is still a very serious situation that's not even remotely under control (in fact, it seems to escalate in seriousness).
When I read the Letter from the producer (@ http://forum.square-enix.com/ffxiv/threads/3465-Letter-from-the-Producer-VI-%2803-16-2011%29), however, it said that we would be looking at a 1-2 week delay in the March update. A 1-2 week delay would mean that the SE team would be 1-2 weeks delayed in working on the patch, and the only way that they are able to work on the patch, is with power.
So what do you think, fellow forum writers? Are we actually looking at a 1-2 week downtime?
I try to always stay realistic rather than optimistic, and it still feels like we are looking at at least 3 weeks of downtime, in total.