Let's talk about Hunts - a detailed rundown of their assumed mechanics

[Leknaat]

There was no spawn between the emergency maintenance that ended on Nov. 25 4:00am CST and when we finally saw him on Nov. 28 10:32pm.

A full moon cycle (32 erozean days) is exactly 37 hours, 20 minutes in Earth time. Here's my math on any 5pm ET before full moon since maintenance (in U.S. Central Standard Time):

Nov. 25 4:00am -> Nov. 25 5:39pm = 13 hours, 39 minutes (too early)
Nov. 25 4:00am -> Nov. 27 6:59am = 50 hours, 59 minutes (should be poppable, but nothing)
Nov. 25 4:00am -> Nov. 28 8:19pm = 88 hours, 19 minutes (nothing again)
Nov. 25 4:00am -> Nov. 28 10:32pm = 90 hours, 32 minutes (found here...)

If you wish to check math, the next 5pm before full moon will be on Nov. 30, 2015 at 9:39:35am CST (hours, minutes, seconds)

Somewhat unrelated, the next midnight at New Moon will be in just a few minutes (Nov. 29, 3:20:00pm CST) in case Mindflayer is available on your server (which it should be unless hunts are really dead on your server).

Edit:


Recently, I've been keeping track of where the A and B rank mobs pop for Kaiser. I don't have enough data to say this is proven yet, but I've noticed where he has spawned in the past 3 times I've kept track, absolutely no B or A ranks were found there since the last maintenance/Kaiser kill. This is with me going out there and killing the B ranks for several hours over and over each time.

I remember one specific Croak where I saw barbastelle at one spot so I didn't go up there and continued on. I finished the circuit without popping it. Turns out Someone killed the B rank midway in my circuit and croak popped on that spot when someone else in my group ran past that spot.

Nov. 25 4:00am -> Nov. 27 6:59am = 50 hours, 59 minutes (should be poppable, but nothing) < - This is the range where ours popped (at least if I have your timezone counted out correctly)

Our next expected Croakadile pop is 11/30/2015 07:40 am pacific so your math is correct.

However due to the timing of your last spawn, it will skip this upcoming full moon and pop on the next full moon (it's roughly a 74 hour cycle) so... I think your next pop should be around 12/1 11pm your time

[Steve_UK]

Issues With the Tree we call Wulgaru

So, I'm on a low populated Server Mateus, and in ALL major hunt linkshell's, where they call hunts 24/7 if a s rank. We have yet to see wulgaru since maintanence. every day when i've gone AFK, ive gone AFK in east shroud to make sure it wasnt a ninja kill. My friend's and myself have burnt through about 200-300 Leve's and no spawn, yet no call since maintanence.

I was starting to think was because we missed Croakadile on the first spawn circuit. Apparently not, as we had a Croak spawn yesterday.

Does anyone else have a *random* S rank that can sometimes go way beyond its timer and become difficult to spawn for no apparent reason? The reason i said *random* is sometimes we have safat missing before he spawns (3-4 hours after missing), We also have Agrippa that can sometimes be a pain...

[Leknaat]

Issues With the Tree we call Wulgaru

So, I'm on a low populated Server Mateus, and in ALL major hunt linkshell's, where they call hunts 24/7 if a s rank. We have yet to see wulgaru since maintanence. every day when i've gone AFK, ive gone AFK in east shroud to make sure it wasnt a ninja kill. My friend's and myself have burnt through about 200-300 Leve's and no spawn, yet no call since maintanence.

I was starting to think was because we missed Croakadile on the first spawn circuit. Apparently not, as we had a Croak spawn yesterday.

Does anyone else have a *random* S rank that can sometimes go way beyond its timer and become difficult to spawn for no apparent reason? The reason i said *random* is sometimes we have safat missing before he spawns (3-4 hours after missing), We also have Agrippa that can sometimes be a pain...

These are the current post maintenace pop min/maxes I'm working with for the 2.0 hunts do these numbers help at all (I noticed the ones Vaandes put up don't quite work and I update mine as I find new ranges)?

40 48 Garlok
72 72 Croakadile
65 82 Croque-Mitaine
65 73 Mahisha
44 55 Nandi
65 75 Bonnacon
64 82 Brontes
66 78 Lampalagua
58 64 Minhocao
58 75 Zona Seeker
43 48 Laideronnette
66 78 Wulgaru
58 80 Thousand-cast Theda
72 72 Mindflayer
60 84 Safat
60 106 Agrippa the Mighty

One thing to keep in mind is Ariyala's timer for safat is... um... slightly off. it's listed as 15+ hours open for safat on Hyperion but in reality it's only about 4 hours so if our safat ends up taking the max time it will have been missing on Ariyala's for a few hours. I think Nandi and MOST of the 3.0 s ranks are a problem. Another problem is she doesn't restart the count when serves go down/come up

The last Wulgaru should have been between 39-49 hours after the servers came up. Is there any chance he might have popped while you were asleep or soemthing? If it was popped early Wulgaru should pop for you sometime today/tonight he's been open for about 2 hours on my server (died about 68 hours ago) and servers have been up for 111-112 hours (so he popped about 44 hours into his post maintenance window for us)

[CableMonkey]

I was starting to think was because we missed Croakadile on the first spawn circuit. Apparently not, as we had a Croak spawn yesterday.

So it wasn't just Goblin. Good to know.

Does anyone else have a *random* S rank that can sometimes go way beyond its timer and become difficult to spawn for no apparent reason? The reason i said *random* is sometimes we have safat missing before he spawns (3-4 hours after missing), We also have Agrippa that can sometimes be a pain...

Other than this random Croakadile scenario, nothing really stands out for us.

Unrelated...

Gandrewa is typically an asshat...

I farmed Seventh Heaven just about every time that node came up while I was awake for 2 days straight...and the _____ spawns 2 hours after I go to bed last night.
Note: My miner is not worthy of that node yet...

[Leknaat]

I farmed Seventh Heaven just about every time that node came up while I was awake for 2 days straight...and the _____ spawns 2 hours after I go to bed last night.
Note: My miner is not worthy of that node yet...

LOL yeah I hate gandrewa. It's honestly best if you wait till about 90-96 hours after maintenance and about 125-130 hours after the first pop before trying to pop gandreawa. If no one's popped him by then he's generally guaranteed to pop within the next 10 hours. I've also noticed it seems harder if you only do one node rather than rotate between them. :<

[MiunaOshino]

We just got a spawn of Gandarewa on Cerberus, at 58 hours and 16 minutes after maintenance. Not sure what happened, we weren't trying at that time.

(And Kaiser Behemoth popped at 57:58, no Bird of Paradise nor Pale Rider )

[CableMonkey]

I just got home to find Croakadile being called. 5pm prior to full moon was at 4:19:35am CST today (Dec. 8).

5pm Pre-Full Moon: Dec. 8 4:19am CST
Maintenance End: Dec. 7 2:45am CST
------------------------------
Difference: 25 hours, 34 minutes

[MiunaOshino]

Got Bird of Paradise at 51 hours and 7 minutes after maintenance on Cerberus.

[Steve_UK]

Got Bird of Paradise at 51 hours and 7 minutes after maintenance on Cerberus.

i just managed to spawn kaiser behemoth, 52 hours into maintanence window

[MiunaOshino]

i just managed to spawn kaiser behemoth, 52 hours into maintanence window

Yup there's been reports of Kaiser Behemoth and Pale Rider as early as 50 hours, haven't seen any for Bird before 56 hours though :P (same with Gandarewa before 70 hours)