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  1. #11
    Player
    winsock's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2014
    Posts
    788
    Character
    Chaosgrimm Winsock
    World
    Adamantoise
    Main Class
    Conjurer Lv 60
    Quote Originally Posted by J-Dax View Post
    This is the case each flip is its own separate event, previous or subsequent flips do not effect outcomes. When you flip the coin once, you have a 50/50 chance of getting heads. The next flip is also a 50/50 chance of getting heads, weather you had heads before or not.
    The previous flips to not impact subsequent outcomes. This is true. But you're looking at the chance of something occurring within a certain number of attempts
    To simplify, let's say AST flips coins. For an encounter, you only have time to flip your coin 3 times. Your possible flips for the encounter are:
    HHH
    HHT
    HTH
    HTT
    THH
    THT
    TTH
    TTT

    There is an equal chance for any of the above combinations to be the combination you get during the run. "TTT" has the same chance of appearing as "HTH" or "THT" or "HHH". However, there are 7 outcomes that would allow you to get at least 1 H during the encounter. 7/8 outcomes means you have a 87.5% chance of getting at least 1 H over the course of 3 flips.
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    Last edited by winsock; 08-29-2015 at 12:25 PM.