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  1. #11
    Player
    winsock's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2014
    Posts
    788
    Character
    Chaosgrimm Winsock
    World
    Adamantoise
    Main Class
    Conjurer Lv 60
    Quote Originally Posted by J-Dax View Post
    The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy or the fallacy of the maturity of chances, is the mistaken belief that, if something happens more frequently than normal during some period, it will happen less frequently in the future, or that, if something happens less frequently than normal during some period, it will happen more frequently in the future (presumably as a means of balancing nature). In situations where what is being observed is truly random (i.e., independent trials of a random process),

    The idea that drawing more than once increases or decreases the likely hood of an outcome is gamblers fallacy.
    Lol this is not the gambler fallacy.
    Flip a coin in sets of 10.
    Count how many sets where heads appears at least once.
    Count how many times you get an entire set of tails.
    by your logic they should be 50/50. but that is not the case

    There is only one possible outcome for "TTTTTTTTTT" but there are several possible outcomes that contain at least 1 head, each possible outcome has an equal chance of appearing, but there are more outcomes that contain at least 1 H
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    Last edited by winsock; 08-29-2015 at 11:19 AM.