Optimal BRD rotation?

[Ooshima]

You missed another point of the opener. Krietor's opener is based on spike damage, whereas the DoT opener guarantees full strength of the second set of DoTs. This means the DoT opener is better for sustaining high damage over longer periods of time, whereas Krietor's spikes and drops off. In the long run, that would result in lower DPS. Also, your estimate still misses a vital point: while it may be -15DPS weaker than it should be as you claim, it is still stronger than Krietor's in the long run.

I'm not using Krietor's opener BTW, I have my own set of opener after my own series of tests and speaking/exploring with some of my FC BRDs who really excels in the job (they achieved server firsts). I briefly read Krietor's guide but I don't really agree with it. My opener ensure full strength of my DoTs with X-pot right from the start, without any clipping. Krietor's guide deploys the same concept of opening with buffed DoTs but he suggests to clip at around 6s which is a waste of DPS.

With regards to your statement, it's not correct because BRD's long term DPS stabilizes after 1 min in general, after the first cycle of your CDs, unless you are lucky with crit hits and BL procs you might sustain 500 plus minus DPS for 2 mins max. Refer to the DPS-over-time graph and you can see that after the 30th sec mark the graph area and pattern are pretty much the same. There's isn't any variation after that, because BRDs doesn't have combos.

As a comparison, when patch 2.4 just came out not long ago, I did a series of test with my crafted gear and Nexus. IL was 106, with 40+% crit rate, 3mins parse without using the refreshed Hawk's Eye at the end, I was able to get 44X on dummy reliably (half of the time). Lower end parse was about 435 ish if BL proc sucks.