playerbase down 25% in 4 months?

[Nipa]

The player numbers showed a almost identical drop across servers until October (second link on the Allakhazam page). What makes you think Cornelia, the original No.3, became a "special exception" since then?

Well, in fact the /sea counting method indicated the connected population at Japanese peak time, while the current method indicates the total server population. If we can most certainly generalize Cornelia case to the whole Japanese population, it may be a bit too direct to do that on the EU and US populations.

I don't know whether Cornelia has a consequent EU and US population. If it's the case, then yes, we can apply its decrease to the whole game population, but if it's not, maybe we have to factor in another unknown parameter.

But well, frankly, I think that EU and US populations are decreasing faster than the JP one (since more knowledgeable of others current MMOs), and thus, in the worst case, the global diminution is worse than on Cornelia...

[darkstarpoet1]

Well, in fact the /sea counting method indicated the connected population at Japanese peak time, while the current method indicates the total server population. If we can most certainly generalize Cornelia case to the whole Japanese population, it may be a bit too direct to do that on the EU and US populations.

I don't know whether Cornelia has a consequent EU and US population. If it's the case, then yes, we can apply its decrease to the whole game population, but if it's not, maybe we have to factor in another unknown parameter.

But well, frankly, I think that EU and US populations are decreasing faster than the JP one (since more knowledgeable of others current MMOs), and thus, in the worst case, the global diminution is worse than on Cornelia...

it's not a hard concept. if the average was the same up til a certain point then unless something drastically changes on that one specific exception then that one should continue in line with the rest. if all of a sudden one server got new content and new gear and people left one server to be there because it had it then, yes, it may be different, but since the same game additions are on all servers it can be reasoned they would follow the same trend.

sure some servers may be losing more than 25% and some may be losing less than 25%, but if they were in line originally within a reasonable limit logically it should continue to do the same.

[zaviermhigo]

On selbina i really don't see any lack of people on. We may of lost most of our CE people (not me though), but I see tons of new people everyday and I have for the last 3 or so months. And these aren't bots or multiboxers i'm talking about, their real people who make really stupid sounding newbie shouts like "where's the AH" and you have to break their heart.

[Procas]

Square enix... plz shut this game down and just focus on FFXI >.>.... Ppl still actually play that game...

Why waste your time here complaining , go log in FF11 and have fun!

[syntaxlies]

if you read the letter it says that they are behind because they are testing the dungeons so that they can be released in 1.18. Thats were the whole extra 2 weeks thing came from.

[Keftenk]

Well, in fact the /sea counting method indicated the connected population at Japanese peak time, while the current method indicates the total server population. If we can most certainly generalize Cornelia case to the whole Japanese population, it may be a bit too direct to do that on the EU and US populations.

I don't know whether Cornelia has a consequent EU and US population. If it's the case, then yes, we can apply its decrease to the whole game population, but if it's not, maybe we have to factor in another unknown parameter.

But well, frankly, I think that EU and US populations are decreasing faster than the JP one (since more knowledgeable of others current MMOs), and thus, in the worst case, the global diminution is worse than on Cornelia...

The EU and US population on Cornelia has always been low, since release. The JP community out numbers us significantly.

[Platinumstorm]

I wouldn't worry much about the population. The game isn't even a "release candidate" yet, so the population means nothing. There's still a year left before Square needs to worry about the population.

[Renshi]

Hello, I'm the OP of the article posted on Allakhazam (the link on the first page). Actually the numbers are even a bit more misleading - something I tried to explain to Hugus on Allakhazam as well. Let me explain.

Numbers until October 2010 were collected with the /sea all command during a specific time each day (a "one-moment-snapshot"). Numbers after February, however, were accumulated over 24-h-intervals. So it's save to assume that 24-h-interval numbers in October were actually much higher than 2600.

The drop October->February thus was not 2600->2000, but (2600*x)->2000, with x being (24/average number of hours a player stayed logged in in October). If we assume x to be a very exagerated 6, for example, actual 24-h-interval player numbers would have been 10.400 in October. The drop 10.400->2600 is 75%, that's why I said that the additional drop 2600->2000 since February is "positive".


P.S.: The player numbers showed a almost identical drop across servers until October (second link on the Allakhazam page). What makes you think Cornelia, the original No.3, became a "special exception" since then?

Yeah gotcha, but don't say that 25% of the ENTIRE playerbase is down. It leads to miscommunication =)

[Sav]

Not surprisingly, a lot of the numbers dropped after the post-tsunami outage.

[Rinsui]

Not surprisingly, a lot of the numbers dropped after the post-tsunami outage.

Well, actually the number was smaller than could have been expected. If you look at the table in the link, you'll realize some "-"s. That's the tsunami outage. Player numbers climbed back up for a short duration after that.