Facts in support of DDOS:
- WoW just introduced a premium currency and a lot of people are upset. Usually, a DDOS coincides with bad news in WoW.
- A lot of bots got banned, so the bot owners are taking it out on FFXIV.
- We correctly deduced that "other" countries like Malaysia, Philippines, etc. were behind last year's DDOS due to the payment processor change. Maybe they're still having trouble paying their subs?

Facts in support of server overload:
- FFXIV is still the world's most popular MMO with over 30 million players (WoW, in comparison, only has around 3 million). We know that Square Enix did not anticipate FFXIV being this popular.
- A lot of people are running the new deep dungeon (if the game world feels empty, this is why).