Tales from the Dawn

[Iscah]

Its quite easy if you address the issue of the time travel itself and the idea that the sundering happened twice.

There is a time-line where the events happened without us being in Elpis, and thus giving future information. Things happen as they were shown in Shadowbringers, where there was a fight and the Sundering happens. Time spirals into the story of the 8UC.

Then Graha goes back in time and skips out on his reality and changes history, leading to us going back in time and changing history again which in turn creates a paradox. The paradox is us going back in time at a set point and meddling at Elpis and giving Venat foreknowledge on the future. The paradoxical time loop converges back when you go and defeat Hydaelyn.

That doesn't make sense. G'raha only changed history as far back as he travelled, which was only to the point shortly after the Warriors of Darkness returned to the First and halted the Flood. He can't have altered events in Elpis by doing that.

The events at Elpis only need to happen once. They lead to the Sundering, the Sundering leads to history as we know it and onwards into the 8UC timeline, but the end result of G'raha time-travelling interference means that at the same time there is already the second path of time where the calamity is averted. We travel from that branch of time back to Elpis, inadvertently setting off the chain of events.

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EDIT: I knew I should have put in the full argument here before I hit my post limit, but I didn't want to derail the thread into Aurelie's Regular Lengthy Thoughts on Time Travel. And now here I am posting ever-longer responses that aren't being read by the people I'm quoting.

Edit edit: everything below I wrote into this post but will now repaste further down the thread.

If Graha does not go back in time, and the events of Shadowbringers never happen, we live within the 8UC timeline, in which WE DIE. If we die at that point in time (the end of Stormblood) we are not ALIVE to go back in time to warn Venat and have our adventures in Elpis.

The time loop in Shadowbringers does not require our 8UC counterpart to travel back to Elpis, because the events in Elpis sit outside of the span of time altered by G'raha's actions.

All that matters in the 8UC timeline is that the Sundering happened in the past.

The end result of Shadowbringers is that the 8UC timeline is bypassed and the Elpis time loop continues along the "new" timeline that, from a whole-of-time viewpoint, has always existed alongside the 8UC timeline. If you are tracing this timeline, there is never a point where we die in the calamity, and this not-dying version of our timeline leads onward to Endwalker and our trip to Elpis.

G'raha's actions are necessary to create the path, but the result is that there is never a time where the path is not there.

There was only one WoL who travelled to Elpis, and it was always only us.

Graha's jump to the past is 300 years into the future after Stormblood. When he went back in time, he went to a pre-merged world and it landed him 100 years in the past (from Stormblood) on the First.

Partly correct, but only from G'raha's personal experience.

From memory, the stated time that G'raha was awoken in the future was 200 years forward, and in travelling back in time (and across to the First) he arrived shortly after the Flood of Light occurred. In the First, that was about a hundred years before we arrived there, but then you have time variation on top of that.

From the events of post-Heavensward we know exactly when the Flood was happening in Norvrandt, because it was the time when the Warriors of Darkness came to the Source. Not a hundred years ago, but probably less than a year before the events of Shadowbringers occur by our perspective.

Because Graha's time travel does not run on the same rules as normal time travel. Normal time travel sends you back on a linear time scale. Graha's also mixed space into the mix. Instead of just going back in time on the Source, which would have been a case of "can't change the past," he crossed space as well as time onto the First, a place where he doesn't/shouldn't exist. This breaks outside of the normal rules of time travel, which allowed him to change how things occurred. We could get into the nitty gritty about how that works (let's not for our own sakes) considering the Sundering first needed to take place, but it's going to be quite a few paradoxes.

I don't believe the jump between shards had anything to do with how time travel works any why he successfully altered events.

My theory is that what made the difference is that he is trying to change a specific historical event. He knows exactly how it happened and when it happened and why. By altering circumstances so it is impossible for that known event to take place, he creates a situation that cannot lead to the future he travelled from, and so a second branch of time forms to house this altered situation.

By contrast, we can't do anything in Elpis because we have no idea of the specifics, so there's nothing we can do to create a similar contradiction.

First point, this doesn't contradict what I said, nor does it make what I said wrong. He was saying we could not stop the calamity, that it was always fated to happen, but we still changed things by going back in time.

We became part of events by going back in time, but that isn't the same thing as changing them. There still only needs to be one version of events at Elpis.

[WellGramarye]

That doesn't make sense. G'raha only changed history as far back as he travelled, which was only to the point shortly after the Warriors of Darkness returned to the First and halted the Flood. He can't have altered events in Elpis by doing that.

The events at Elpis only need to happen once. They lead to the Sundering, the Sundering leads to history as we know it and onwards into the 8UC timeline, but the end result of G'raha time-travelling interference means that at the same time there is already the second path of time where the calamity is averted. We travel from that branch of time back to Elpis, inadvertently setting off the chain of events.

If Graha does not go back in time, and the events of Shadowbringers never happen, we live within the 8UC timeline, in which WE DIE. If we die at that point in time (the end of Stormblood) we are not ALIVE to go back in time to warn Venat and have our adventures in Elpis. Remember one of the biiiiiiiiiiiiiiig reasons the 8UC timeline is the "bad-end" is because we the player character, no longer exist, having been killed off.

Thus because Graha goes back in time, to an alternate universe, he allows us to live. By allowing us to live we eventually go back in time to Elpis. No Graha, no Elpis.

Yet the sundered world EXISTS. So because the sundered world exists, there had to have had two parallel sunderings. One where we meddled and one where we did not because we were dead and couldnt go back in time to meddle.

[RyuDragnier]

If Graha does not go back in time, and the events of Shadowbringers never happen, we live within the 8UC timeline, in which WE DIE. If we die at that point in time (the end of Stormblood) we are not ALIVE to go back in time to warn Venat and have our adventures in Elpis. Remember one of the biiiiiiiiiiiiiiig reasons the 8UC timeline is the "bad-end" is because we the player character, no longer exist, having been killed off.

Thus because Graha goes back in time, to an alternate universe, he allows us to live. By allowing us to live we eventually go back in time to Elpis. No Graha, no Elpis.

Yet the sundered world EXISTS. So because the sundered world exists, there had to have had two parallel sunderings. One where we meddled and one where we did not because we were dead and couldnt go back in time to meddle.

Because Graha's time travel does not run on the same rules as normal time travel. Normal time travel sends you back on a linear time scale. Graha's also mixed space into the mix. Instead of just going back in time on the Source, which would have been a case of "can't change the past," he crossed space as well as time onto the First, a place where he doesn't/shouldn't exist. This breaks outside of the normal rules of time travel, which allowed him to change how things occurred. We could get into the nitty gritty about how that works (let's not for our own sakes) considering the Sundering first needed to take place, but it's going to be quite a few paradoxes.

[WellGramarye]

Because Graha's time travel does not run on the same rules as normal time travel. Normal time travel sends you back on a linear time scale. Graha's also mixed space into the mix. Instead of just going back in time on the Source, which would have been a case of "can't change the past," he crossed space as well as time onto the First, a place where he doesn't/shouldn't exist. This breaks outside of the normal rules of time travel, which allowed him to change how things occurred. We could get into the nitty gritty about how that works (let's not for our own sakes) considering the Sundering first needed to take place, but it's going to be quite a few paradoxes.

Graha's time travel IS normal time travel, as Elidibus ghost warns us, if we go back in time and change anything, then the present we come back to will not be the same one we left from, and that we should be careful about that. He thinks this won't be a problem because we will be so Aetherically thin that we won't be able to have an affect on the past, but once we are there Emet-Selch and Hythlodeus change us into a form that CAN have an affect on the past, thus now causing a paradox.

Graha only ended up on the First because at the time of his jump into the past, the First and the Source had already been merged together due to the U8C. Graha's jump to the past is 300 years into the future after Stormblood. When he went back in time, he went to a pre-merged world and it landed him 100 years in the past (from Stormblood) on the First.