depends on your idea of success. will it have people playing it yes... will it be popular...no. anyone who has ever played a good mmo, not made by SE, has already gave up and deemed this turd a failure. between now and 2.0 there will be 3 major releases that will draw more than the original release most likely 2.0 combined. swtor,d3,tera, will all 3 draw least 1 million sub at release. mark my words they will be more successful in their first month than this game will be 2 years running. ffxiv is running down the shenmue series path and it is not looking good.