Unless the features of moon phase, elemental days etc, are all explained, everything is nothing more than a guess or just ignored.
Leading to something just as simplified as if it never existed.
Unless you can see the parts of a puzzle, in which to play around with, and see their actions directly, rather than leaning towards "well it happened each time I do it, so it must be a chance to happen! each time you did it, u are just unlucky!" it will not have any meritable depth.