Live Letter XXX Discussion Thread

[Kaurie]

You have a 50% chance of having the portal spawn once you beat the initial pop.
Given that you had a portal spawn, you have a 50% chance of selecting the correct door from the first room.
Given that you made it to the second room, you have a 50% chance of selecting the correct door from the second room.

I believe the chance of the portal spawn is 20%.

thats the problem. SE RNG is stupid for the most part.

I agree, I feel RNG should be used to make events seem more alive and less scripted, but often in this game stuff is still scripted and RNG is just added for the sake of it. I don't see any reason why any of this RNG is in place (20% chance to spawn portal, 2 doors 1 = move on, 1 = cry). It seems very unnecessary.

[MomomiMomi]

I believe the chance of the portal spawn is 20%.

The spawn rate of the portal to the Aquapolis is set to 50%.

Until they change this, or someone can confirm they said 20%, that's what I'm going to believe.

thats the problem. SE RNG is stupid for the most part. small example from yesterday is when i was melding some materia for a friend. went thru 8 materia at 26% before one finally went in, and then the next chance was 10%. it went in on the second one. for me, i have stopped using the collective probability for this game, because its largely depressing, and at times, useless because rng gonna rng.

But that's not how probability works.

[Kaurie]

Until they change this, or someone can confirm they said 20%, that's what I'm going to believe.

I got the 20% from the unofficial translation of the live letter, https://docs.google.com/document/d/1...w?pref=2&pli=1

[MomomiMomi]

I got the 20% from the unofficial translation of the live letter, https://docs.google.com/document/d/1...w?pref=2&pli=1

I realize that. But one source isn't confirmation. Bayohne posted it's 50%. So which is true?

[Kaurie]

I realize that. But one source isn't confirmation. Bayohne posted it's 50%. So which is true?

Oh, I goofed up and thought your second quote was of Ariannaid. I didn't realize it was a dev quote. I guess the dev quote is probably more reliable.

[Spawnie]

Oh, I goofed up and thought your second quote was of Ariannaid. I didn't realize it was a dev quote. I guess the dev quote is probably more reliable.

http://forum.square-enix.com/ffxiv/t...-Update-Thread it is 50% soooo dont know why people are complaining ;p

[Kaurie]

http://forum.square-enix.com/ffxiv/t...-Update-Thread it is 50% soooo dont know why people are complaining ;p

Personally, anything under 100% deserves a complaint imo. This entire thing seems like a very huge mistake.