How likely is Alex savage to be nerfed.

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The old argument then was that raiders already had access to the gear and that CT was the "catch-up" patch. When 3.1 drops, there is going to be no catch up needed since alex savage will still be current content. I don't see hundreds and hundreds of statics getting clears by mid october, why would Yoshida choose to destroy those people's progression by showering everyone with 210 gear?

I think you are hoping for way too much if you want twines before most raiders can get them.

How is that destroying their progression? By mid-october most players will have a fair amount of Eso gear, if raiders still aren't able to complete the floor they're on (or hit a wall as some might say) the 210 gear will help them break down that wall and progress further.