Quote Originally Posted by Gamemako View Post
Is there any evidence there of a step function? I certainly don't see any in that data or in any data previously collected.

//EDIT: Data visualized:



See anything there suggesting a step anywhere?
Everything in this game that has been analyzed has worked as a step function. While it may not necessarily be true that this follows, you should know better when dealing with probabilities than to use the method you are using.

Yes, I do see evidence of step function here. There appears to be a significant break with the testing around 240ish. The only issue is whether there is a second break point earlier (which I don't think there is anymore, but Niinjitsu's data indicated there likely was). You do understand that the we're going to see a roughly normal distribution (trials aren't held constant) about the expected value right?

Are you telling me what you showed doesn't look like a step function? Because it most certainly does.