1) Level 55, currently in post ARR, doing the content for the first time. Pretty obviously they aren't doing anything wrong.
2) Level 67 because of Road to 80, currently in post ARR, doing the alliance raid roulette to get some tomes to finish off their gearset. Are they doing something wrong? They're overlevelled for their MSQ. Was that their choice? What's the exact level where you'd say it's a problem for them to do the alliance raid roulette.
3) Level 90, has finished the MSQ, hasn't unlocked any raids past CT because they didn't feel like doing them. Are they doing something wrong? What if they were on a job that's level 55? Level 65? Where do you draw the line? Is it bad to not have the raids unlocked only when you're currently on a higher level job?
4) Level 90, currently in Stormblood MSQ, has CT and Void Ark unlocked. They queue at the same time as player 5, who's currently level 90 and has finished the MSQ but has only unlocked CT and Ivalice (for Bozja). Because of the overlap between them, only CT is possible. Is one of them doing something wrong? Which one? Both? Would player 4 be in the clear if they were currently on a level 67 job? Being on a lower level job has done literally nothing to change which raids they make available to the roulette.
All of these players are making "choices", with the definite exception of 1 and I would also argue 2 (regardless of their level). Your MSQ and current level are both aspects of progression, and in my opinion not being maxed out on either should be equally valid reasons to not have all the raids available to you. Someone who's levelling a job is making a choice to do that and to do it in a particular way instead of queueing on a higher level character. It would be much more convenient for you if they were max level already, after all! Someone who's not finished the MSQ is choosing to spend their time on other parts of the game, and that's okay, just as not already having levelled Samurai to 90 is okay.
I really think you're focusing on the wrong thing here. You might think my examples are very specific and nitpicky, and they are. I did that deliberately to make a point - trying to eradicate CT like this is a pointless and convoluted task, because there are so many ways it can end up happening, including completely by random, and only one person needs to fall into any category that can force it or make it more likely. If you actually want to do it you have to make it impossible to do the roulette until you have every raid unlocked, which is obviously ridiculous. Making every alliance raid mandatory to progress the story (and requiring the ilvl of your highest unlocked raid, of course) would help vastly more than forcing level 90 gear onto characters that aren't truly in endgame yet. But you can't and shouldn't force people to rush through the MSQ just to prevent them from maybe sometimes making an endgame player do lower level content.
As someone else has said, it seems increasingly like you want to be mad at a scapegoat and don't actually want to fix the problem in a better way.
If it's such a problem then why don't YOU just queue directly for high level raids?

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