The New Job (If Any) Added In 7.0 Will Likely Be Scouting Melee DPS

[CKNovel]

Doubt so, it's been 4 years since new tank&ranged, 1 year since healer&melee, but a whooping 6 years since we had a caster.

It's been mentioned that SQEX doesn't want to do double DPS anymore but that's not impossible.
Since caster and ranged only have 3 jobs (not counting BLU for obvious reasons), they're the highest chances of getting a new job.
Tanks are in the best spot right now and don't need a new job despite having big chances.

I doubt armor plays a role in their choice of jobs.
MNK was the only job with Striking gear until Stormblood, for 4 years.
DRG was the only job with Maming gear until Endwalker, for 8 years.

If there's any pattern, it's that a melee is added every even expansions. Stormblood being the second expansions and Endwalker the fourth.
If a Scouting job is added, then I believe we can expect it for 8.0, not 7.0.

After all, if they were following the armor rules, they we would've had Reaper on Shadowbringers.
But again, this isn't impossible, Rune Knight has been a popular demand for a long time.

[Seraphor]

I doubt armor plays a role in their choice of jobs.
MNK was the only job with Striking gear until Stormblood, for 4 years.
DRG was the only job with Maming gear until Endwalker, for 8 years.

Yoshi P specifically cited the armour class as the reason they choose Reaper to be this expansions DPS job.
We can debate how much of a factor that really was, considering how Reaper is also heavily tied to the lore of this expansions as well. But they could have made it Scouting or Striking if they wished.

Otherwise, I agree that we're likely to get a Caster before a Scouting job, but they are both the roles currently in need of representation, so it could go either way depending on their reasoning.