
Originally Posted by
DeNada
Sure if you target a highly coveted plot, your odds will become worse which is understandable. Even now, a medium or large plot on an existing world can easily attract 50 or more players camping it due to their scarcity and desirability.
However, if you just want a house, I doubt you will be competing against more than 10 or even 5 players at most in a lottery.
Let's say there are 20,000 active players in an average world and 6,000 players already have a house in the existing wards. That leave 14,000 active players entering a lottery of 1,440 Ishgard plots, which is an average of 10 players to 1 plot.
If we take into account that some of these players will be competing for highly desired plots, this brings down the average even lower for a player just looking for any house.
I'm pretty sure if you are willing to scout around, you maybe find a plot which has 2-3 or even 0 players trying for. Hardly the hundreds of ppl to per plot odds which has been bandied around to scare people off.
Just for perspective, an average of 50 players per lottery plot equal 50,000 active players on a world looking for houses, am average of 100 players equal 100,000 active players on a world. Recent census have shown that even on the most populous servers like Balmung and Mateus, the number of active players still fall below 30,000 players.