I know there is a lot of speculation that it will be Meracydia but for me there just does not seem to be any pressing issue there for it to be the location of the season 1 story line. It may have a rich history but at the moment there really is not much there, i do imagine we will go there someday, perhaps as a time travel X-pack but i do not se that being the case right after ShB.
If it is the season 1 finale then it has to be either Sharlyan or Islabard, with Garlemald included of course, and in fact i feel it Needs to include Both for the finale other wise there will be some loose ends, since Sharlyan is small i imagine it will be our main Hub city similar to Kugane of it being only a hub city and maybe one zone and the rest will be Islabard, not all of it but obviously Garlemald and 4 or 5 other zones. I do not imagine it will be as spilt as SB though i imagine Sharlayn will serve similar prominence as Ishgard did in HW and then the zone exploration and endgame city will be in Islabard. maybe the final zone will be the moon, I felt it would be for years but now i am not so sure, it might just be a dungeon trial and raid series.
In my mind we need both Sharlyan and Garlemald for this to be the finale, that way we can move on to new story arch's, antagonists, and territories in 7.0 and maybe there can be a larger time gap between 6.0 and 7.0 for them to fix up some spaghetti code issues in the game and work on other goodies since it will feel as though most current arch's are wrapped up

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