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  1. #11
    Player
    HyoMinPark's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Lavender Beds, Ward 13, Plot 41
    Posts
    7,339
    Character
    Hyomin Park
    World
    Cactuar
    Main Class
    Sage Lv 92
    Quote Originally Posted by Moonfish View Post
    I don’t think that’s even the case since we have to roll a number. I’m no numbers expert though, I don’t think in a rolling system that it’s ever 1:24 chance of winning.
    The way I think of the chances are as follows:

    Since there’s 3 coffers and 24 individuals (and individuals that have won the coffer before can roll again despite having the gear, so there’s no hard lockout on it), I imagine that your first chance would likely be 3:24, or 1:8 of a chance to win a coffer on your first roll. After the first coffer is claimed, you still have 2 more rolls and are now against 23 other people—so 2:23. After the second coffer is claimed, you have 1 remaining chance against the remaining 22 individuals, so 1:22. This isn’t factoring in crap rolls going against high 90s or anything—just basic odds.

    But I could be wrong.
    (1)
    Last edited by HyoMinPark; 10-31-2019 at 02:15 AM. Reason: Why does my phone keep correcting “coffers” into “coffees”. Now is not the time for coffee!
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