Gerolt gits gud.

[Zova]

50 Converted into 102, 203, 139, 136, 169, 196, 196, 130....

Is the probability of getting any amount per crystal evenly distributed? If so that 102 is kinda crazy, the odds you would get that many 2s if the distribution is even must be incredibly low...

[Avatre]

Is the probability of getting any amount per crystal evenly distributed? If so that 102 is kinda crazy, the odds you would get that many 2s if the distribution is even must be incredibly low...

I had 10 Anemos each give 2, in a row, the other day. RNGesus hates some, and loves others(must be the lack of sacrifices...)

[Tridus]

Is the probability of getting any amount per crystal evenly distributed? If so that 102 is kinda crazy, the odds you would get that many 2s if the distribution is even must be incredibly low...

RNG gonna RNG. Put enough people through it and someone will get the short end of the stick like that.

[Zova]

RNG gonna RNG. Put enough people through it and someone will get the short end of the stick like that.

I mean, I know that with RNG you will see lots of outcomes that seem improbable given enough trials. The thing that seems crazy to me is if the probability of a 2,3,4, and 5 are all even, i.e. 1/4 for each one, then the odds of seeing a 102 total with 50 rolls is about 1 in 10 ^ 27, or one time out of every billion billion billion 50 roll trials. My math might be wrong of course, I never was that good at statistics and probabilites. Of course if the odds aren't even then none of this applies...

[Moonfish]

I mean, I know that with RNG you will see lots of outcomes that seem improbable given enough trials. The thing that seems crazy to me is if the probability of a 2,3,4, and 5 are all even, i.e. 1/4 for each one, then the odds of seeing a 102 total with 50 rolls is about 1 in 10 ^ 27, or one time out of every billion billion billion 50 roll trials. My math might be wrong of course, I never was that good at statistics and probabilites. Of course if the odds aren't even then none of this applies...

The RNG definitely favors the house. It’s common when I’m gathering I’ll have 97% to hit and miss 3 times in a row.

[Tridus]

I mean, I know that with RNG you will see lots of outcomes that seem improbable given enough trials. The thing that seems crazy to me is if the probability of a 2,3,4, and 5 are all even, i.e. 1/4 for each one, then the odds of seeing a 102 total with 50 rolls is about 1 in 10 ^ 27, or one time out of every billion billion billion 50 roll trials. My math might be wrong of course, I never was that good at statistics and probabilites. Of course if the odds aren't even then none of this applies...

Close enough. Here's a nice tool to calculate the probability of every possible outcome: http://anydice.com/program/f62a It is pretty unlikely, but so are a lot of outcomes. It's very slanted towards the middle.

This is also assuming they are doing 50 rolls. If they're doing a single roll and just multiplying by 50, the odds of a 102 are equal to that of any other outcome.

[BillyKaplan]

This is also assuming they are doing 50 rolls. If they're doing a single roll and just multiplying by 50, the odds of a 102 are equal to that of any other outcome.

I'm with Ariane, they're probably taking the min possible value (2 * num of crystals) and max possible value (5 * num of crystals) and then random within that range. They're not wrong, per-se, and my napkin math over lunch did show it should still average to around 3.5 average but it stings a lot more to see a result that's basically 50 2 rolls in a row