While you make very good points, my original opinion still stands that without a bit of luck it didn't matter how good your rotation was, you still had around 30% chance to HQ. Of course you can reach 60%+ with a normal for Byregot's IF you managed to MMII. IF you got that extra touch. IF you got an Excellent for one of your HTs. It may have happened more often than not, and you could always stall for a Good on Byregot's IF you had the CP, but in the end it all came down to luck. In comparison I've been able to come up with a rotation that can guarantee 100% Progress and Quality for a 3* when starting with 3.6k Quality, even less IF I get a Good.