First place or not doesn't really matter IMO, much like how MNK beating DRG/NIN doesn't matter. All about dat rDPS contribution.
I'm a firm believer that in a NIN DRG and (in this case) MCH comp, BLM from a min/max standpoint is "pointless" in the sense that, with equal gear/skill/experience/strat/etc, most non-SMN DPS would fulfill that final spot better than BLM would in this current environment (especially A4S as you mentioned). Especially another MCH or BRD; MCH and MCH/BRD actually stack disgustingly well, the stronger player doesn't have to use TP/MP and in the case of MCH MCH, that's a lot of Hypercharge uptime which benefits everyone including each MCH.
I fear what 3.2 MCH may be. I fear range stacking could truly be up there with BLM + BRD, if not in multiple ways better. If it's really stronger than it is currently, by 5% or so rDPS? Scary. While I don't think that'd necessarily put the BRD + BLM comp out in any way, I sure think MCH + caster would be pointless compared to MCH + BRD or MCH + MCH. Need more T4/T11 vulnerabilities, more T10 LB opportunities, some stuff where it goes beyond raw dummy rDPS on bringing a caster or not.
"Pointless" was definitely hyperbole on my part though. BLM is still great without a BRD, especially if you actually make use of Apoc/E4E/Virus (rare these days to have something to Virus ...), and I reckon the BRD caster comp isn't going anywhere anytime soon. It's just if you rock without a BRD when things get min/max weird IMO.
Personally I don't think raids should ever be balanced around DF comps. They are designed for pre-made parties to come in with semi-specific comps, communicate on voice chat, and wipe 100s of times to get down. If it goes into DF, it gets echo and is usually overgeared by welfare gear or iLVL raise at that point, anyway. We ran T11 without a caster after it got unlocked many a time without a problem, though it was never optimal.
As long as a caster isn't literally required to clear at all, I think balancing towards having a caster is wonderful. Melee X2 and BRD/MCH are locked in for obvious reasons.



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