12 weeks of Coil T6+T7 without my loot dropping.

[Artiste]

Not to be that guy but, that's just Gamblers Fallacy. The drops you get on one occasion does not affect the drops you get in another occasion. Since there are always 9 possible drops - no matter what, there will always be a 1/9th of a chance for each item to drop. The chances of each item dropping consecutively will always remain 1/9th because each event occurs independent of previous events.

Sometimes I don't like it because it gives the RNG power to troll you. Curse you healer robe! Why won't you ever drop?

That's what I said, every time, you have 1/9, but like I said also, it's not completly true.
It's true also that, to get 4 times same item in row, you have 1 / 9x9x9x9, or 1/6561.

Both are true.
Every time, you'll have 1/9, yes, and to get same item 4 times in row, you have 1/6561, why there should be only affirmation true ?
I dont know if you get the point, but yes, getting an item once, doesn't incrase the chance to not the same item again.
I cant really explain this well.

[AdamFyi]

Snip

Maybe I worded it wierdly? What I'm trying to say is that, yes, getting it consecutively is an extremely low chance! I wasn't disagreeing with you completely. I was pointing out that you can't expect something should drop just because it hasn't dropped in a long time.

[ananda]

No...statistically you stand a pretty good chance of seeing your weapon. After 14 runs you have a 6/9 shot of having seeing your wep of choice at least once. The 26 attempts is simply the point where all 9 weps should have fallen at least once. Your static will have 8 people...it's expected that you'll see 8/9 weapons in 22 attempts.

22 attempts is for any 8 weapons. For a specific 8 weapons, the expected number is actually 25 runs (since 8 out of 9 times, the last weapon you need will only drop last, after you've seen all of them).

Also, about the probability of 12 weeks of t6 and t7 without seeing any loot for a class. There are 5 types of loot (fending, slaying, aiming, casting, healing). So for each chest probability of not getting your loot is 0.8 (assuming the loots are distributed evenly, I'm not sure if that's true). To fail 48 times in a row (12 weeks of 4 chests each), total probability is then 0.0022%, or 1 in 44,842. If there are 2 million players in this game, and if 10% of them can clear t6 and t7 regularly since 3 months ago, the OP can expect to find 3 other players as unlucky

[Souljacker]

There IS tokens...it's called Soldiery Tomestones...would you prefer they delete Coil and make both armor sets Soldiery gear? Sorry RNG is screwing you but for every person like you there's a group that has your drop raining on them every week.

Which isn't exactly fair because it's not like that group is putting in more effort or displaying more skill. RNG is literally the worst reward system ever conceived of. Other developers realized this pretty quickly and fixed it. SE is stuck in the past.

[Warlyx]

u are all guessing all the loot has the same chance of dropping , and maybe that's not true.

maybe SE change loot % chance of items on maint /patch ...

/tinfoil hat

or maybe boss drops are changed on real time , invisible gms hidden while u fighting and poping the chests w/o loot for your job!

[Krisds]

I'm just as frustrated about RNG loot drops as you all. Probably at least 25 weeks of doing T6, and I've never even seen the Monk helm once.....never seen it and I'm probably the only monk on the entire server that doesn't have it......

As for the weapon.....I wish it would alternate depending on party composition and who does and doesn't have the weapon.....so you get your main jobs covered first....but's that's just wishful thinking....Either that or give a token for each T9 down, and after 5 weeks or something, you'd accumulate enough to obtain the weapon you want before you leave the Main Bridge?

[Lord_Zlatan]

is this a new topic?

Never got my Osode in FFXI...

Never got my SG ring in LOTRO

Never even seen Armor of Light drop in this game.

You move on, its that simple.

[ZodiacSoldier]

Meh back in the original coil, my group did T1 to T4 for about 8 or 9 weeks before a single tank piece dropped. RNG is RNG.

[Legacy_Wolfwood]

yeah 3 months, about 12 weeks. no t7 healer chest to be seen in any of my teams... my fc just cleared t7 for the 3rd? time and got it to drop lol... rng =.=

[Gucci_Charms]

I haven't seen BRD Helmet or Gloves drop in T7 since SCOB came out -_-

I also haven't seen Bow or Coat for T9 in weeks lmao.

DARN YOU RNG!!!!!!!!!!!!!