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  1. #1
    Player Reiterpallasch's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2012
    Posts
    783
    Character
    Arya Stark
    World
    Leviathan
    Main Class
    Leatherworker Lv 50
    ITT: We learn that 1-99% ≠ 100%

    (3)

  2. #2
    Player Reiterpallasch's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2012
    Posts
    783
    Character
    Arya Stark
    World
    Leviathan
    Main Class
    Leatherworker Lv 50
    Just to reiterate what I said above:

    Quote Originally Posted by Reiterpallasch View Post
    ITT: We learn that 1-99% ≠ 100%

    Just because you missed once, twice, or even 3+ times in a row at 99% does not mean the game is lying and that the chance for success isn't really 99% as it claims. "A couple times" is such a miniscule sample size that there's no way you could ever possibly hope to get an accurate %. You'll need to mine 10s of thousands of times to even begin getting an accurate measurement.

    I'd be willing to bet that if you mined 1,000,000 ore at 99%, that you'd end up with roughly 990,000 ore while also getting huge strings of failures in the middle somewhere. Even if you missed 100 times in a row at some point, your success rate would still be 99% in the end.

    This kind of reminds me of ye olde FFXI, back when people would claim things like "SAM WS have terrible accuracy, I always miss!". They'd swear something like a 20% acc rate, until they were parsed and they turned out to be capped at 95% the entire time.
    (4)

  3. #3
    Player
    DoctorPepper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Limsa Lominza
    Posts
    922
    Character
    Doctor Pepper
    World
    Cactuar
    Main Class
    Samurai Lv 70
    Quote Originally Posted by Reiterpallasch View Post
    ITT: We learn that 1-99% ≠ 100%

    Pretty much this.

    I highly doubt they would put incorrect probabilities in the game. Your bad luck is just bad, I've done my fair share of synths/gathers and believe that it goes both ways.
    (1)

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