I like to believe that, given enough tries, the hit/miss percentage will match the displayed values.I sure wish SE would post the correct percentages for items and your success rate. Sure you can say something is 85% and then always make us miss 3 or 4 out of 6 tries and say ... well... 85% is still 15 misses out of 100. That is true but we only get 6 tries/swings and I nearly never end up with a percentage of success that the number on the items indicate.
Quit jerking us around and just put 40% or 20% when that's your intent in the first place.
Game is riddled with that kind of crap and SE knows it!
You can get 3 HQs in a row with only a 15% chance, but you won't complain about that, will you? :P
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