I know this will be controversial, and I know some of you think YOU will be the one to win the housing lottery. But statistically it's not true. There will be a lot more losers than winners.

This is where the problem lies, and why first come first serve is actually a superior system when it comes to freshly released wards.

The fact of the matter is that a multi-day long lottery will attract more player entries than a first come first serve race to the plots. Those that are only casually interested, and aren't willing to race on patch day, will have ample opportunity to enter- and thus there will be more competition for each plot.

For example: rather than having 5 first come first serve "racers" compete over a small plot within the first ten minutes of the servers going live, you now have 50 entries over the period of the lottery.

The math is simple: 4 disappointed players who raced to a house and were unable to get one VS 49 disappointed players who entered a lottery and lost.

Thank you for reading my TED talk.


P.S. I do think the lottery system has a use case, but that's only in regards to relocated plots. Where the additional disappointed players is actually preferential to the current system of having players (or even bots) sit and click for hours on end.