90% success rate...

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Originally Posted by HEC

The "problem" here is that many people expect with 80% chance to succeed 4 out 5 attempts while it's actually let's at least 800 out of 1000 - the distribution of the RNG is over larger sample, not a signle or few isolated crafts / gathers.

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Do you know of anybody whose maybe done some testing to try and figure out the variance of lets say a move like Hasty Touch under the influence of Steady Hands II which in theory should be a 80% chance to succeed.

From my experiences with this game, it feels like the variance is very large.