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Been using cheap anima to build up multiple melds. Achievements list says I have 46 succesful melds and I have 9 x 2 meld items, so I'm travelling at about 25%. When I get to 10 double melds I plan on having a go at the triples.
That's when they'll probably blow up :P
my experience is, that it's random and just luck
sometimes I fail 20 of 20 dual melds, each with around 15-20% success and other times I've 3 of 3 success by the same rate
using +1 gear always spends a 5% higher success rate, melding high rank items has a higher success chance then with lower equip and if you use materia with different stats it increases the success rate, too
if you put 2x +16 int into something it has a lower success rate then using 1x +15 and 1x +17 int
Took me 17 tries to get a x2 int hat. Took me one try to get a double meld on my legs. About 4 tries to double meld magic acc on my electrum scepter. Problem is you don't know if they were stupid and made moon/day/color socks affect meld rates. After HQ'ing some mahogany pattens of int and seeing a 22% chance of success for double melding two +12 hell's fist I'm pretty much only melding HQ gear now.