Sorry, I was unclear. I got 11 attempts to improve quality per sythesis, each attempt had 70% chance of success. Statistically I should end up with about 7 or 8 successes each run. After 7 successful attempts I have 100% chance at HQ. With 6 attempts successful the HQ chance is usually around 80-90% (depending on how many 'good's I get) and with just 5 the chance is around 40-50% for HQ.
So if I hit average, above average or even slightly below-average luck I should always HQ. But fully half of my results were NQ, the result of chain-bad-luck.


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