I'm posting this thread for opinions and speculation - much as I hate speculation!

I'm trying to plan my vacation time and/or just simply some days off with this game schedule. It is not easy!

The Beta roadmap has been revised since the announcement of the August 27 launch date. I just notice this today! Sorry if I am slow... http://gdl.square-enix.com/ffxiv/download/en/FFXIV_2.0_BETA_Roadmap_EN.pdf

If Phase 3 were to start June 7 or even June 14, and we use up the max time listed in the roadmap (3 weeks P3, 2 weeks debug, 2 weeks P4) that's still 7 weeks total and only gets us to the first week of August. So even if early access is a full week (unlikely, right?), that might make, say August 8 through August 20 a complete dead time (no beta, no early access taking place). Not a good time to take off work!

What do you guys think?

How much down time would you anticipate between the end of Phase 4 and the start of Early Access?

Bonus question, and perhaps a duh on my part: Is there any time (game down) between Early Access and Official Launch? I assume there is no transition there at all? Just a bazillion more people suddenly log in?