AN ETA on a Functioning game?

[Abriael]

*sigh*

Sure a release date can change 6 months from release. When it comes to 1-2 months before release and advertisements are going to tv and press the last thing they want is a date change.

You assume that they are going to put advertisement on TV and on press with a release date much before said release, which is most definitely not needed, nor sensical. Especially with MMORPGs, most heavy advertisement is done very shortly before release, AT release or AFTER release. Before then, if any advertisement is made, it can simply carry a "coming soon", as it did for other MMOs.

MMORPGs aren't like offline games that need to concentrate most of their sales in the release window. Quite the opposite, the more the initial influx of players is staggered, the better is for the developer.

ARR already had a roadmap that changed. The current roadmap clearly states "However, given the nature of beta testing (during which we work closely with our customers to improve our products), there may be a need to adjust both the commencement date and the duration of the beta test." Yoshi has stated multiple times they don't want to be completely locked in to a schedule. This is why 1.0 failed. I really hope they take the time they need to make sure launch is successful.

That is why they gave us a best case scenario and a worst case scenario. Assuming that they'll go past the worst case scenario just because is, again, completely illogical.

Until we have any firm evidence that the worst case scenario will be missed, the release window is between mid april and the end of june. Any other hypothesis is based on hot air. There's absolutely no reason to assume that they'll miss the dates they set on their own as the worst outcome.

It's illogical just like assuming that they'd leave a sizable amount of downtime between open beta and release when they indicated all the downtime in the roadmap, and there's none there.

And sure, anyone who has a differing opinion to yours is illogical and misinformative.

No. Anyone that purposely goes against *all* the data we've been given, without the slightest indication that the data is somehow wrong, is illogical and misinformative.

There's a difference.

And while I can appreciate wanting the team to take the necessary time for a successful release, hoping for them to go past the worst case scenario they indicated, with the mandatory negative impact on the game's hype and on the players' mood, regardless of the game's state (that they knew better than you when they wrote down the roadmap) is nonsensical and actually damaging.

At the moment, we can either trust the roadmap set by yoshida and the development team based on their knowledge of the state of the game, their system and their marketing plan (because you know, that kind of roadmap passes by marketing as well), or your fantasies based on your wishful thinking.

Guess who's most credible.