Page 9 of 10 FirstFirst ... 7 8 9 10 LastLast
Results 81 to 90 of 96
  1. #81
    Player
    Iscah's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2017
    Posts
    14,080
    Character
    Aurelie Moonsong
    World
    Bismarck
    Main Class
    Summoner Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by Kathleen_ View Post
    It was rhetorical.
    Rhetorical only really works when the implied answer is unambiguous.
    (0)

  2. #82
    Player
    Kathleen_'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2022
    Posts
    102
    Character
    Kathleen Nadinea
    World
    Adamantoise
    Main Class
    Dark Knight Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by Iscah View Post
    Rhetorical only really works when the implied answer is unambiguous.
    It is unambiguous though. There's a 50/50 for it to be either side but you have to make a decision. In a small set getting the same side thrice in a row is a less likely occurrence than getting the same side twice in a row, so the logical decision is to bet on hads. Before you bring up the gambler's fallacy, no, that's believing that the chance of getting tails is higher. It's not "smarter", it's just playing around RNG in game theory.
    (0)

  3. #83
    Player
    Iscah's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2017
    Posts
    14,080
    Character
    Aurelie Moonsong
    World
    Bismarck
    Main Class
    Summoner Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by Kathleen_ View Post
    In a small set getting the same side thrice in a row is a less likely occurrence than getting the same side twice in a row, so the logical decision is to bet on hads. Before you bring up the gambler's fallacy, no, that's believing that the chance of getting tails is higher. It's not "smarter", it's just playing around RNG in game theory.
    No, that absolutely is gambler's fallacy. You're saying that it is more likely to be tails because the previous two were heads.

    If you were asked to bet before any coins are flipped whether there will be three heads or two and a tail, you'd be more sensible to bet on the mix. But once the two heads have been produced, the third flip is still 50/50. The universe does not care that the previous two flips came up heads.

    And, as I said, your rhetorical question was ambiguous whether you were expecting the reader to think the answer is "you should bet on tails" or "it's still 50/50". Rhetorical questions don't work if the person you're asking might not follow the same logic as you.


    Edit: Okay, no, you wrote that heads was more likely. That makes even less sense.
    (3)
    Last edited by Iscah; 11-29-2022 at 10:13 PM.

  4. #84
    Player
    Kathleen_'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2022
    Posts
    102
    Character
    Kathleen Nadinea
    World
    Adamantoise
    Main Class
    Dark Knight Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by Iscah View Post
    No, that absolutely is gambler's fallacy. You're saying that it is more likely to be tails because the previous two were heads.

    If you were asked to bet before any coins are flipped whether there will be three heads or two and a tail, you'd be more sensible to bet on the mix. But once the two heads have been produced, the third flip is still 50/50. The universe does not care that the previous two flips came up heads.

    And, as I said, your rhetorical question was ambiguous whether you were expecting the reader to think the answer is "you should bet on tails" or "it's still 50/50". Rhetorical questions don't work if the person you're asking might not follow the same logic as you.


    Edit: Okay, no, you wrote that heads was more likely. That makes even less sense.
    I literally said that it's 50% for either side. lol You're talking about classical probability in a closed mathematical setting, I'm talking about game theory decision making because my original point was about node spawns: you have two sides at the same chance of occurring, why did you pick one over the other? You have multiple nodes spread throughout the map at the same chance of occurring at fixed intervals of time, why did you preposition near that node specifically?
    (0)

  5. #85
    Player
    Towa-Musa's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2022
    Posts
    1,060
    Character
    Towa Musa
    World
    Mateus
    Main Class
    Gunbreaker Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by Kathleen_ View Post
    I literally said that it's 50% for either side. lol You're talking about classical probability in a closed mathematical setting, I'm talking about game theory decision making because my original point was about node spawns: you have two sides at the same chance of occurring, why did you pick one over the other? You have multiple nodes spread throughout the map at the same chance of occurring at fixed intervals of time, why did you preposition near that node specifically?
    You are literally agreeing its RNG then lmfao
    (0)

  6. #86
    Player
    AnnRam's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2021
    Posts
    776
    Character
    Mint Goh
    World
    Balmung
    Main Class
    Black Mage Lv 100
    There are a lot of premades in seal rock because many people wants their jacket.

    As a fully solo player I always try to tell people where and how to avoid getting pinched. Using waymarks as well or <se.x> to tell the raid to move or defend. IT always does a difference instead of complaining about the RNG in shout chat.

    When a team have all the nodes (for example in the beach) let's say 3 ; they will make the mistake of trying to defend them all, its the perfect opportunity to strike from behind but this almost never happens , people in PVP/FL plays very passively and will cry when they don't get a "lucky" node on their side.
    (3)

  7. #87
    Player
    Kathleen_'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2022
    Posts
    102
    Character
    Kathleen Nadinea
    World
    Adamantoise
    Main Class
    Dark Knight Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by Towa-Musa View Post
    You are literally agreeing its RNG then lmfao
    I said it like, 15 posts ago. lmao
    My whole point is that you're supposed to play around it instead of crying and pissing yourself in alliance chat because spawns don't go in your favour 100% of the time.
    (2)

  8. #88
    Player
    Towa-Musa's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2022
    Posts
    1,060
    Character
    Towa Musa
    World
    Mateus
    Main Class
    Gunbreaker Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by Kathleen_ View Post
    <Angry lizard noises.>
    oop now you're just trying to insult people XD
    (0)
    Last edited by Towa-Musa; 11-30-2022 at 07:14 AM.

  9. #89
    Player
    Towa-Musa's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2022
    Posts
    1,060
    Character
    Towa Musa
    World
    Mateus
    Main Class
    Gunbreaker Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by AnnRam View Post
    There are a lot of premades in seal rock because many people wants their jacket.

    As a fully solo player I always try to tell people where and how to avoid getting pinched. Using waymarks as well or <se.x> to tell the raid to move or defend. IT always does a difference instead of complaining about the RNG in shout chat.

    When a team have all the nodes (for example in the beach) let's say 3 ; they will make the mistake of trying to defend them all, its the perfect opportunity to strike from behind but this almost never happens , people in PVP/FL plays very passively and will cry when they don't get a "lucky" node on their side.
    i can confirm that complaining about the bad RNG in shout does nothing to help, seen people do it while i shrugged and continued to kill 5 people with one lb.
    but you WILL admit that theres a Heavy element of RNG that CAN effect the tide of battle because the system for what ever reason favors one side of the map for half the match.... riiight?
    (2)

  10. #90
    Player
    Mistress_Irika's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2019
    Location
    Limsa
    Posts
    525
    Character
    Ophelia Irika
    World
    Hyperion
    Main Class
    Summoner Lv 100
    Honestly, I'm starting to wonder how frequently people here have finished games where the teams scores were less than 100 points. (Bonus morale if the team manages to finish with nothing and still types gg lol)
    (0)

Page 9 of 10 FirstFirst ... 7 8 9 10 LastLast