Last round I had 3 entries on a small in Kugane, out of 210 or so total entries. I lost.

This round (July 10 start) I have made 8 entries on a small in the Lavender Beds. Last I checked there were 18 entries total, giving me about a 44% chance of winning, but there will almost certainly be more by the time the entry period closes. We'll see how it goes.