Ruby Dragon not biting

[ItMe]

Some stats if you're interested:

More than 50 Ku'ers = 36.41% of players
More than 100 Ku'ers = 13.26% of players
More than 200 Ku'ers = 1.75% of players
More than 300 Ku'ers = 0.23% of players
More than 400 Ku'ers = 0.03% of players
More than 500 Ku'ers = 0.004% of players
More than 600 Ku'ers = 0.001% of players

Where did you get these stats and how were they compiled?

[Wilford111]

This is why I hate fishing and avoid it when I can haha

[Abelisk]

Where did you get these stats and how were they compiled?

Binomial distribution using the accepted consensus of Ruby Dragon having a 2% catch rate from Ku'er mooch, since mooches cannot be influenced by Surface Slap and in this case, cannot be manipulated to get a specific tug type.

CBH shows the percentages here:

https://en.ff14angler.com/?spot=1001...t=0&cmd=search

TC shows a similar 2.5% so the average could be 2.25% and the rates could be higher (meaning OP would be more of an outlier)

https://ffxivteamcraft.com/db/en/fis...The-Ruby-Price

[ICountFrom0]

Binomial distribution using the accepted consensus of Ruby Dragon having a 2% catch rate from Ku'er mooch, since mooches cannot be influenced by Surface Slap and in this case, cannot be manipulated to get a specific tug type.

I tend to calculate for a 99.9% success chance, though the math is more anoying then just running through a number of catch amounts. 350 attempts give or take, (as I'm too tired, too HOT) to do the math. Given what, 3 per window? 120 windows? Two weeks between each window?

[LegendWait]

I tend to calculate for a 99.9% success chance, though the math is more anoying then just running through a number of catch amounts. 350 attempts give or take, (as I'm too tired, too HOT) to do the math. Given what, 3 per window? 120 windows? Two weeks between each window?

If I remember my math :

R = 1 - ((1 - p) ^ i)

at 2% (p) the probability to catch it over each iteration (i) so for R => 0.99, I think you need 232 iterations or kuers casts


1 - ((1 - 0.02) ^ 232)) = 0.99078

Please correct me if I'm wrong, I'm not a math expert

[ItMe]

snip

Thank you for the information.
These links are very interesting~