Castrum Queue and the overflow lottery

[Riyshn]

Except dataminers (and people who use a certain -engine- program) already confirmed long ago the buff's internal mechanism in the code showcased it's a binary flag; it guarantees the server picks you for CE's, unless there's at least 48 others who have the buff, or an equivalent 'Marching Orders' from fate-specific ones, then the game RNG's who gets in from the buff wielders alone. The thing is, Castrum isn't classified as a CE internally.

Interesting. I don't suppose you have a source for this? Would definitely like to see that, and my Google Fu is failing me.

[Daeriion_Aeradiir]

Interesting. I don't suppose you have a source for this? Would definitely like to see that, and my Google Fu is failing me.

I mean, google isn't going to help you. Dataminers don't exactly want to be found with simple google searches, given what they do.
When Bozja was first released, there were private discords dedicated to figuring out a lot of systems in it, along with figuring out things such as Marching Orders since a small group also wanted to try and World 1st the duels and Marching Orders was pretty important to that if it did work.

Statistically though, speaking purely on a math front and disregarding what I know, its also easily observable that Marching Orders isn't a % chance and is guaranteed outside of a single niche case. As Maria pointed out earlier in this topic, if it was a % chance, it would readily fail you often on every other CE on the southern front, yet despite playing a lockout of Bozja nearly nightly with marching Orders perpetually up since the beginning of this year, I have not failed to enter a single CE. Yet in the past week alone, I've failed to enter Castrum 4x. Either we have odds so far high up into the negative exponent values that I should go buy a lottery ticket, or its obvious Castrum ignores Marching Orders.

The one, single scenario where Marching orders cannot get you into a CE is if at least 48 others all have marching orders, or an equivalent buff from completing a Pre-CE skirmish, and even, the odds are small.

Think of it another way: even assuming a max full queue of 72 where the odds of not getting in are at their highest, you have a 66% chance of getting in. If Marching Orders was increasing that %, it would be making Castrum a near-guaranteed entry anyway. For it to mesh with how in interacts with non-Castrum CEs, it would need to be increasing the %chance so much to make both mine & maria's sample size of perfect several hundred+ CE's work, meaning it'd be an almost statistical impossibility you'd see anyone with Marching Orders not get into Castrum 99% of the time, yet that's clearly not the case as maria & I have demonstrated alone, discounting the tons of others that have had it happen to them.

Lots of systems in this game can be solved with simple analysis, math and observation. Also speaking as a programmer, binary systems are way infinitely easier to deal with since its just a single bit flip and a switch statement to check, instead of coding entire systems to do equations and math to achieve the same purpose.

TL: DR, your 5 clusters are being wasted if you buy it for the sole purpose of getting into Castrum.

Yeah, I did a full hour of every C.E as a tank getting Gold rating on each. As a tank, you'll understand enmity puts you at top for completion..

I queued as 18 out of 48, and I didn't get in.

So actually, my spot was stolen because I made sure to be active and participate and be in the first few to register.

That's what this entire post of mine is about.

Your contribution in other skirmishes and CEs is irrelevant.

The only thing the Castrum queue cares for is that you sign up for it. Once it's initial 6-minute timer goes out, it selects a random 48 from the people who signed up. Your spot wasn't 'stolen'; you just weren't lucky. Yes, this means that the guy afking at spawn has the same equal chance as you do, and now you understand why many people instance hop to fish for Castrums that are coming up soon.