Thread: Help Me Guess 6.0 Release Date :)

Originally Posted by Katalyn

Hi All,

So we are picking vacation for 2021 where I work. Due to how we select, seniority-based, I end up being at the bottom of the list. Also, we have limits on how many we can have off on any given day. What all this means is I pretty much need to guess when 6.0 might drop if I want some time off for an expansion binge, because by the time it is officially announced it will be pretty hard if not impossible to get some time off.

That being said, give me your best guess when you think it might come out!

I'm guessing 8/31. Expansions have been dropping end of June/beginning of July and it feels like they are about two months behind. But I could be wrong about that, so I'm trying to crowd source this.

Tell your manager that you don’t know how you want to spend your vacation yet but your plans should become clear in February. As you are last priority it doesn’t matter when you take it as long as others don’t already have. You’d be very lucky to guess the date xD.

Originally Posted by MsQi

I'm fairly certain it won't be released today. I hope that helps you narrow it down. )

It’s 8pm, there’s still time.

Originally Posted by Katalyn

Hi All,

So we are picking vacation for 2021 where I work. Due to how we select, seniority-based, I end up being at the bottom of the list. Also, we have limits on how many we can have off on any given day. What all this means is I pretty much need to guess when 6.0 might drop if I want some time off for an expansion binge, because by the time it is officially announced it will be pretty hard if not impossible to get some time off.

That being said, give me your best guess when you think it might come out!

I'm guessing 8/31. Expansions have been dropping end of June/beginning of July and it feels like they are about two months behind. But I could be wrong about that, so I'm trying to crowd source this.

It's going to be either September 25 or September 30. But if you're really asking me when then it might be August 25th or August 31. I am not sure what do you think?

Originally Posted by Enkidoh

Given that SE haven't even officially announced the next expansion yet, which is usually done at one of the Fanfests around October, and that the expansion launch date is usually about 8 months after, I'm not expecting 6.0 to launch til at least September/October next year (not to mention that Japan has a much more important global cultural event planned for July/August next year that SE probably are keen to avoid clashing with), and with the pandemic continuing to wreck havoc on development, it's unlikely that we'll see anything about it for a long time sadly.

I want nothing more than to be proven wrong though.

Wow! You know I totally forgot about the whole Summer Olympics being postponed. This is why its good to get multiple opinions

Originally Posted by Vickii

Tell your manager that you don’t know how you want to spend your vacation yet but your plans should become clear in February. As you are last priority it doesn’t matter when you take it as long as others don’t already have. You’d be very lucky to guess the date xD.

Yes, I'd be very lucky to hit it on the head.

Just to share a little more about how we are doing vacation. We have a couple of initial selection rounds. During these rounds people are limited to how much time they can pick and it's done by seniority. After these initial rounds, it is basically first come first serve for the remaining open days. Due to limits on how many can be off, weekends are usually all gone once that, first come first serve time opens. So basically, my best chance to get any particular time off is during this initial period when people are limited on how much they can take. I can always cancel any picks I make or take any open days once this period is over.

Based on what I'm seeing here, I'll probably use one of my week selections in September or October depending on what's open, and I'll also use my individual days' selection to try and get as many weekends in those months as possible. Besides the week around Labor Day, weekdays in September and October tend to be pretty open so that's a plus.

October 5th.

Originally Posted by worldofneil

Based on the time between patches previously (and Yoshida saying they'd be unlikely to make up the lost time because of COVID-19), it's likely something like this:

5.5 = 30 March 2021
5.5X = 15 June 2021
6.0 = 10 September 2021
6.1 = 11 January 2022

Edit: Sorry, you probably want more of a breakdown as to HOW I got those dates. I also count the start of an expansion from early access as that's technically when it goes live, even if officially it is the following Tuesday (anyone buying the game in the early access period gets immediate access, Early Access is just a marketing thing)

Nice spreadsheet, very analytical!

Originally Posted by Katalyn

Nice spreadsheet, very analytical!

Thank you, although it was just putting the patch dates in and then estimating based on the patterns.

It's obviously not going to be perfect, not even SE will have exact dates planned out, but it gives a general idea at least, but because that's 4 patches ahead, it could end up a month out (if they're all one week more or less than I expected).