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  1. #1
    Player
    Duskane's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Location
    isnt it messed up that goblet is a housing area and not a tiny goblin
    Posts
    4,163
    Character
    Dusk Himmel
    World
    Ravana
    Main Class
    Viper Lv 100
    Quote Originally Posted by Lacan View Post
    (3)

  2. #2
    Player
    Lilseph's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    1,461
    Character
    Shadow Link
    World
    Mateus
    Main Class
    Red Mage Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by Lacan View Post
    Please, never leave us.
    (3)

  3. #3
    Player
    Lacan's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Posts
    684
    Character
    Ceolred Stone
    World
    Cactuar
    Main Class
    Red Mage Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by Lilseph View Post
    Please, never leave us.
    I never plan on it my child.

    Also, looks like someone else won their roll:

    (0)

  4. #4
    Player
    Kobalos's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2018
    Location
    London
    Posts
    433
    Character
    Narukai Nephilim
    World
    Zodiark
    Main Class
    Black Mage Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by SturmChurro View Post
    There was a post buried a few pages back where the guy said he wanted one for each retainer. Too lazy to find it though. lol.
    Despite the fact you can just glam over the retainer gear
    (0)
    “We are all in the gutter, but some of us are looking at the stars.”

    ― Oscar Wilde

  5. #5
    Player
    XenociderOmega's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2017
    Posts
    130
    Character
    Ley Crimsonriver
    World
    Adamantoise
    Main Class
    Dancer Lv 100
    I won with a 93 roll
    /mmambo
    (0)

  6. #6
    Player
    TheMightyMollusk's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Posts
    7,467
    Character
    Iyami Galvayra
    World
    Cactuar
    Main Class
    Red Mage Lv 100
    Lost on a roll of 99. Wow.
    (0)

  7. #7
    Player
    Lacan's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Posts
    684
    Character
    Ceolred Stone
    World
    Cactuar
    Main Class
    Red Mage Lv 90
    Quote Originally Posted by TheMightyMollusk View Post
    Lost on a roll of 99. Wow.
    You know who won it instead??

    (9)

  8. #8
    Player
    KitingGenbu's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2015
    Posts
    740
    Character
    Alex Carver
    World
    Balmung
    Main Class
    Dragoon Lv 60
    Quote Originally Posted by Lacan View Post
    You know who won it instead??

    Emel Sexy. This isn't even his final form....

    As for continuously obtaining the chest, I would say that would be a more realistic and sooner seen issue to solve vs overhauling the system. All they have to do is do it like how you can't loot mount items once its already in your character's system. Probably a bit more elaborate to code since mounts just go to a tab and the clothes can be literally anywhere on your character's accessible inventories (retainer/dresser/etc). I suppose if they had that much sorted out, you'd only ever be able to have one map across all inventories.
    (0)
    Last edited by KitingGenbu; 10-31-2019 at 03:29 AM. Reason: Grammar is hard

  9. #9
    Player
    HyoMinPark's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Lavender Beds, Ward 13, Plot 41
    Posts
    7,339
    Character
    Hyomin Park
    World
    Cactuar
    Main Class
    Sage Lv 100
    Quote Originally Posted by KitingGenbu View Post
    As for continuously obtaining the chest, I would say that would be a more realistic and sooner seen issue to solve vs overhauling the system. All they have to do is do it like how you can't loot mount items once its already in your character's system. Probably a bit more elaborate to code since mounts just go to a tab and the clothes can be literally anywhere on your character's accessible inventories (retainer/dresser/etc). I suppose if they had that much sorted out, you'd only ever be able to have one map across all inventories.
    They’d have to do some type of recoding. Even now, you can obtain numerous copies of Unique gear pieces so long as they’re all stored in separate inventories (e.g., Saddlebag, Armory chest, Retainer inventories, Glamour Dresser). I’ve ended up with copies of some of the dungeon gear because I’ve forgotten I had them shoved away in a retainer for later leveling and just never fished them back out.

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiya View Post
    Its 12.5% a run with 3 chances to try. The boxes are unique marked so if you get one you cannot get another while its in the inventory.
    Your chances will go down with fewer coffers, so it’s not always 12.5%—I think that’s likely applicable only to the initial lotting where you have all 24 players rolling on all 3 coffers (3 rolls, 24 players: 3/24 = 1/8 = 12.5% chance of winning 1 of the 3 available coffers before any are awarded). The second roll, after 1 person has already won, is an odds of 2 rolls per player, with 23 players rolling (again, assuming all are rolling). So, 2/23 = 8.69% chance to win 1 of the 2 coffers now available. The final coffer will be 1 lot among the remaining 22 players: 1/22 = 4.54% chance for your roll to win that 1 coffer.
    This is the math I’ve done. It’s been a while since I’ve taken any sort of probability, so this could be incorrect in terms of its figuring. But I think it’s relatively correct. If it’s wrong, someone can feel free to provide me with counter math.

    Having 1 available roll against 21 other players is lower odds than 3 available rolls against 23 others assuming everyone is still rolling; which, right now, is likely to be a majority of parties since the content is still new.
    (1)
    Last edited by HyoMinPark; 10-31-2019 at 04:04 AM.
    Sage | Astrologian | Dancer

    마지막 날 널 찾아가면
    마지막 밤 기억하길

    Hyomin Park#0055

  10. #10
    Player
    PyurBlue's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Posts
    805
    Character
    Saphir Amariyo
    World
    Brynhildr
    Main Class
    Thaumaturge Lv 40
    Quote Originally Posted by HyoMinPark View Post
    Your chances will go down with fewer coffers, so it’s not always 12.5%—I think that’s likely applicable only to the initial lotting where you have all 24 players rolling on all 3 coffers (3 rolls, 24 players: 3/24 = 1/8 = 12.5% chance of winning 1 of the 3 available coffers before any are awarded). The second roll, after 1 person has already won, is an odds of 2 rolls per player, with 23 players rolling (again, assuming all are rolling). So, 2/23 = 8.69% chance to win 1 of the 2 coffers now available. The final coffer will be 1 lot among the remaining 22 players: 1/22 = 4.54% chance for your roll to win that 1 coffer.
    This is the math I’ve done. It’s been a while since I’ve taken any sort of probability, so this could be incorrect in terms of its figuring. But I think it’s relatively correct. If it’s wrong, someone can feel free to provide me with counter math.

    Having 1 available roll against 21 other players is lower odds than 3 available rolls against 23 others assuming everyone is still rolling; which, right now, is likely to be a majority of parties since the content is still new.
    I decided to try my hand at the math. Usually you approach a problem like this by finding out the probability of failure and then subtracting that from 1 to get the probability of success. Probability of failure in this case is losing all rolls:

    ((P-1)/P)*((P-2)/P-1))*((P-3)/P-2))*...

    P is the number of party members. There is a lot of cancellation which leads to:

    (P-R/P)

    With R being the number of roll chances. In the case of Alliance Raids, P = 24 and R = 3. Our chance of failure is 21/24 = 87.5%. So our chance of success is 1 - failure, which is 12.5%.
    (3)

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