Your potency per mana calculations are a bit wrong. It should be 14.1875 potency per mana, not 10. Remember, verholy/flare and scorch are all part of your PPM, and the mana it would give being delayed also costs you potency in opportunity cost. The point is it's an exceptionally huge loss of DPS. BLM can justify the occasional scathe because the timing on AF outright denies you the ability to guarantee you will get that fire 4 if you delay, but RDM have the luxury of delaying indefinitely at the loss of PPS due to GCD loss.
It's still a worst case scenario, it sucks for everyone involved.


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