Yes, you're mostly right about that. It gets more complicated because it's possible to go into the combo with both Verfastspells Ready, in which case the extra mana and damage that those Verfastspells would do over Jolt is already accounted for by the spells cast leading up to the combo; or it might be appropriate to use the "wrong" Verfinisher even without Acceleration, in which case there's only a 20% chance to generate those extra 3 mana and 20 potency. So the expected value will be less than 3 mana and 20 potency.
These are really the same case. The expected values of Jolt+Verslowspell are 250 potency and 6 mana for Jolt II, 310 potency and 11 mana for the Verslowspell, and 50% of the (20 potency and 3 mana) difference for the proc.
Jolt+Verslowspell: 570 potency, 5s, +18.5 mana
I'm not sure what we're arguing about here? I never said anything that contradicts your recommendations about which spenders to use and when. All I said was the opportunity costs of not casting should be taken into account.