Quote Originally Posted by jrbaetz View Post
I have had LOTS of samples no where close to the devs.
Quote Originally Posted by Niwashi View Post
Add in the human tendency to remember failures easier than successes, and we keep having threads like this pop up with people thinking the success rates are off. Yet whenever someone actually keeps track over a statistically large sample of individual actions, they find it actually comes out about right. (Admittedly, it has been a really long time since I've heard of anyone actually keeping track like that. But quite a while back, like maybe two or three years ago, a particularly long thread on the subject led to someone doing it. Their result was that the success percentages are right after all.)
Jrbaetz, you say youre leveling 5 classes from 1 to 70? Then you certainly have a decent sample size in front of you. Record your findings. Track your quality and progress actions(you can skip recording the 100% ones - we know they work right). All you need for each action is % chance to succeed and whether it did or not. This will prove to all the doubters that youre right(or more likely prove to you that the doubters are right). Because every time i read someone who says something like "I am probly averaging about 1 good 100% syneth every 4 syneths", all i can think is "human tendency to remember failures easier than successes".